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Predictions › South Africa › Golden Arrows vs Milford FC
South African PremiershipSat 17 Oct, 15:30 South Africa time

Golden Arrows vs Milford FC prediction

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Golden ArrowsHome
0.76 : 0.32
expected goals
Milford FCAway
42%Golden Arrows
44%Draw
14%Milford
Eagle safe pickGolden Arrows or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Milford FC is a draw, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
44%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Golden Arrows 0.8, Milford FC 0.3
Best bet
Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
15%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Golden Arrows or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
34% chanceFair price 2.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden Arrows 42%, the draw 44% and Milford FC 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden Arrows took 6 points from their last 5 games and Milford FC took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden Arrows won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Milford FC won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Golden Arrows score 0.7 goals a game and let in 0.7. Milford FC score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Golden Arrows games and 2 of Milford FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Golden Arrows or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Golden Arrows form D D L W DMilford form D W D L DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden Arrows vs Milford FC: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden Arrows host Milford FC in the South African Premiership on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium. Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Milford FC is a draw, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20.

Golden Arrows form

Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 11 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Milford FC form

Milford FC have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Golden Arrows to score about 0.8 goals and Milford FC about 0.3. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 2.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden ArrowsMilford
Games played208
Wins63
Draws113
Losses32
Goals scored149
Goals conceded147
Scored per game0.71.1
Conceded per game0.70.9
Home record3W 7D 1L3W 1D 0L
Away record3W 4D 2L0W 2D 2L
Clean sheets60%38%
Both teams scored35%38%
Over 2.5 goals25%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals30%3.34
Over 2.5 goals10%10.40
Over 3.5 goals2%40.81
Both teams to score15%6.61
Golden Arrows or Draw86%1.16
Milford FC or Draw58%1.74
Golden Arrows to win and Over 2.57%13.60
Milford FC to win and Over 2.52%57.26
Golden Arrows clean sheet73%1.38
Milford FC clean sheet47%2.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-034.4%
1-025.3%
0-110.4%
2-09.8%
1-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden Arrows vs Milford FC?

Our prediction for Golden Arrows vs Milford FC is a draw, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Golden Arrows vs Milford FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Golden Arrows to score 0.8 goals and Milford FC 0.3.

Will both teams score in Golden Arrows vs Milford FC?

Both teams to score has a 15% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Golden Arrows last 20 games and 3 of Milford FC last 8.

How are Golden Arrows playing?

Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 11 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Milford FC playing?

Milford FC have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Golden Arrows vs Milford FC?

Golden Arrows or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Arrows against Milford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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