Predictions › United States › Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings
WNBAWed 30 Sept, 21:00 United States time

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings prediction

College Park Center

Golden State ValkyriesAway
78.8 : 76.9
projected points
Dallas WingsHome
62%Valkyries
38%Wings
Eagle safe pickWings +10.5
-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 78.8 and Dallas Wings 76.9. Our best bet is Wings +10.5 at -330.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Golden State Valkyries 79, Dallas Wings 77
Projected total
155.8 points
Best bet
Wings +10.5 at -330

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wings +10.5
77% chanceFair price -3302 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Wings 38% and Golden State Valkyries 62%. The bookmakers agree and make Golden State Valkyries the favourite at -166.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Wings won 3 of their last 5 and Golden State Valkyries won 4 of their last 5. Golden State Valkyries come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Wings won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Golden State Valkyries won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Wings score 88.8 points a game and let in 86.2. Golden State Valkyries score 83.2 and let in 74.1. Their recent games average 175.0 and 157.3 points in total, and the market line is 155.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dallas Wings won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 4. The last one ended Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wings +10.5 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Valkyriesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings: Golden State Valkyries are favourites

The big picture

Dallas Wings host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Wed 30 Sept, 21:00 at College Park Center. Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 78.8 and Dallas Wings 76.9. Our best bet is Wings +10.5 at -330.

Dallas Wings form

Dallas Wings have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 1776 points scored and 1724 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1664 points scored and 1482 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dallas Wings won 0, Golden State Valkyries won 4. Last time out it finished Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80.

Our call

We expect Golden State Valkyries to score about 78.8 points and Dallas Wings about 76.9. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Wings +10.5 at -330.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WingsValkyries
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Points scored17761664
Points conceded17241482
Scored per game88.883.2
Conceded per game86.274.1
Home record8W 3L8W 2L
Away record2W 7L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wings to win38%+165+140-9.3%
Valkyries to win56%-127-166-10.3%
Wings +3.553%-111-105+2.9%
Valkyries -3.541%+144-115-23.2%
Over 155.5 points48%+110-110-9.2%
Under 155.5 points46%+117-110-11.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wings spreadCoversFair
Wings -4.528%+256
Wings -1.538%+164
Wings +1.549%+106
Wings +4.559%-146
Wings +7.569%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
149.566%34%
152.559%41%
155.551%49%
158.543%57%
161.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wings +3.5 wins if Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings?

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 78.8 and Dallas Wings 76.9. Our best bet is Wings +10.5 at -330.

What is the projected score for Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings?

We project Golden State Valkyries 78.8 and Dallas Wings 76.9, about 155.8 points in total.

How are Dallas Wings playing?

Dallas Wings have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 1776 points scored and 1724 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1664 points scored and 1482 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries last met?

It ended Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. In the last 4 meetings Dallas Wings won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 4.

What is the best bet for Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings?

Wings +10.5 at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wings against Valkyries. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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