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Predictions › United States › Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire
WNBATue 22 Sept, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire prediction

Moda Center

Golden State ValkyriesAway
86.3 : 76.8
projected points
Portland FireHome
82%Valkyries
18%Fire
Eagle safe pickValkyries to win
-467

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 82% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 86.3 and Portland Fire 76.8. Our best bet is Valkyries to win at -467.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Golden State Valkyries 86, Portland Fire 77
Projected total
163.0 points
Best bet
Valkyries to win at -467

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Valkyries to win
82% chanceFair price -4672 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Fire 18% and Golden State Valkyries 82%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Fire won 1 of their last 5 and Golden State Valkyries won 4 of their last 5. Golden State Valkyries come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Fire won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Golden State Valkyries won 11 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Portland Fire score 88.5 points a game and let in 89.8. Golden State Valkyries score 82.5 and let in 73.0. Their recent games average 178.3 and 155.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Portland Fire won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 2. The last one ended Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Valkyries to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire: Golden State Valkyries are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portland Fire host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Tue 22 Sept, 22:00 at Moda Center. Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 82% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 86.3 and Portland Fire 76.8. Our best bet is Valkyries to win at -467.

Portland Fire form

Portland Fire have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 1770 points scored and 1796 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1650 points scored and 1460 conceded. Away from home they have 11 wins and 2 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Portland Fire won 0, Golden State Valkyries won 2. Last time out it finished Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86.

Our call

We expect Golden State Valkyries to score about 86.3 points and Portland Fire about 76.8. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Valkyries to win at -467.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FireValkyries
Games played2020
Wins816
Losses124
Points scored17701650
Points conceded17961460
Scored per game88.582.5
Conceded per game89.873.0
Home record2W 7L5W 2L
Away record6W 5L11W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Fire spreadCoversFair
Fire +3.529%+241
Fire +6.539%+154
Fire +9.550%-100
Fire +12.561%-155
Fire +15.571%-242
Total pointsOverUnder
157.564%36%
160.557%43%
163.549%51%
166.541%59%
169.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fire +3.5 wins if Fire win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire?

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 82% chance. We project Golden State Valkyries 86.3 and Portland Fire 76.8. Our best bet is Valkyries to win at -467.

What is the projected score for Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire?

We project Golden State Valkyries 86.3 and Portland Fire 76.8, about 163.0 points in total.

How are Portland Fire playing?

Portland Fire have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 1770 points scored and 1796 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1650 points scored and 1460 conceded. Away from home they have 11 wins and 2 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Portland Fire and Golden State Valkyries last met?

It ended Portland Fire 69, Golden State Valkyries 86. In the last 2 meetings Portland Fire won 0 and Golden State Valkyries won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Valkyries vs Portland Fire?

Valkyries to win at -467, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fire against Valkyries. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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