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Predictions › Turkey › Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Super LigSat 7 Nov, 16:00 Turkey time

Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction

Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadi

GoztepeHome
1.56 : 1.05
expected goals
Istanbul BasaksehirAway
48%Goztepe
27%Draw
25%Istanbul BB
Eagle safe pickGoztepe or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Goztepe to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Goztepe or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Goztepe to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Goztepe 1.6, Istanbul Basaksehir 1.1
Best bet
Goztepe or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Goztepe or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Goztepe to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Goztepe 48%, the draw 27% and Istanbul Basaksehir 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Goztepe took 11 points from their last 5 games and Istanbul Basaksehir took 7 from 5. Goztepe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Goztepe won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Istanbul Basaksehir won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Goztepe score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Goztepe games and 12 of Istanbul Basaksehir games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Goztepe won 1 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Goztepe 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Goztepe or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gozteperecent form+3%
  • Istanbul BBrecent form+1%
  • Istanbul BBrest between games-2%
Goztepe form D W W D DIstanbul BB form D W D W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Goztepe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Goztepe host Istanbul Basaksehir in the Super Lig on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadi. Our prediction for Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Goztepe to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Goztepe or Draw at 1.32.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Goztepe won 1, Istanbul Basaksehir won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Goztepe 1.

Our call

We expect Goztepe to score about 1.6 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir about 1.1. That points to Goztepe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Goztepe or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Goztepe to win and Over 2.5 at 3.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GoztepeIstanbul BB
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws85
Losses66
Goals scored3430
Goals conceded3223
Scored per game1.71.5
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 4D 3L8W 2D 1L
Away record3W 4D 3L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%3.78
Both teams to score52%1.93
Goztepe or Draw75%1.33
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw52%1.94
Goztepe to win and Over 2.529%3.49
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.514%7.29
Goztepe clean sheet35%2.85
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet21%4.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.8%
2-19.4%
2-09.0%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Our prediction for Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Goztepe to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Goztepe or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Goztepe to score 1.6 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir 1.1.

Will both teams score in Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Goztepe last 20 games and 8 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20.

How are Goztepe playing?

Goztepe have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

Istanbul Basaksehir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Goztepe and Istanbul Basaksehir last met?

It ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Goztepe 1. In the last 2 meetings Goztepe won 1 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 1.

What is the best bet for Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Goztepe or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Goztepe against Istanbul BB. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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