Predictions › Spain › Granada vs Cádiz
LaLiga 2Sun 18 Oct, 14:15 Spain time

Granada vs Cádiz prediction

Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes

GranadaHome
1.67 : 1.12
expected goals
CádizAway
49%Granada
26%Draw
25%Cádiz
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Granada vs Cádiz is Granada to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Granada to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Granada 1.7, Cádiz 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Granada to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Granada 49%, the draw 26% and Cádiz 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Granada took 4 points from their last 5 games and Cádiz took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Granada won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Cádiz won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Granada score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Cádiz score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Granada games and 13 of Cádiz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Granada won 1 and Cádiz won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Cádiz 1, Granada 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Granadarecent form-3%
  • Cádizrecent form-3%
Granada form W L L D LCádiz form W D L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Granada vs Cádiz: Granada are favourites

The big picture

Granada host Cádiz in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 18 Oct, 14:15 at Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes. Our prediction for Granada vs Cádiz is Granada to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Granada form

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Granada won 1, Cádiz won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Cádiz 1, Granada 2.

Our call

We expect Granada to score about 1.7 goals and Cádiz about 1.1. That points to Granada to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Granada to win and Over 2.5 at 3.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GranadaCádiz
Games played2020
Wins72
Draws26
Losses1112
Goals scored2821
Goals conceded3535
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.81.8
Home record3W 1D 4L2W 2D 7L
Away record4W 1D 7L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Both teams to score55%1.80
Granada or Draw75%1.33
Cádiz or Draw51%1.98
Granada to win and Over 2.531%3.20
Cádiz to win and Over 2.515%6.72
Granada clean sheet33%3.07
Cádiz clean sheet19%5.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.6%
1-09.5%
2-08.5%
0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Granada vs Cádiz?

Our prediction for Granada vs Cádiz is Granada to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Granada vs Cádiz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Granada to score 1.7 goals and Cádiz 1.1.

Will both teams score in Granada vs Cádiz?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Granada last 20 games and 11 of Cádiz last 20.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Granada and Cádiz last met?

It ended Cádiz 1, Granada 2. In the last 2 meetings Granada won 1 and Cádiz won 0.

What is the best bet for Granada vs Cádiz?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Granada against Cádiz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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