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Predictions › Spain › Granada vs Las Palmas
LaLiga 2Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 Spain time

Granada vs Las Palmas prediction

Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes

GranadaHome
1.87 : 1.26
expected goals
Las PalmasAway
51%Granada
24%Draw
25%Las Palmas
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Granada vs Las Palmas is Granada to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Granada to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Granada 1.9, Las Palmas 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Granada to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Granada 51%, the draw 24% and Las Palmas 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Granada took 15 points from their last 5 games and Las Palmas took 7 from 5. Granada come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Granada won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Las Palmas won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Granada score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Las Palmas score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Granada games and 13 of Las Palmas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Granada won 0 and Las Palmas won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Las Palmas 2, Granada 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Granadarecent form+7%
  • Las Palmasrecent form+1%
Granada form W W W W WLas Palmas form W W W L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Granada vs Las Palmas: Granada are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Granada host Las Palmas in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 at Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes. Our prediction for Granada vs Las Palmas is Granada to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Granada form

Granada have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Las Palmas form

Las Palmas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Granada won 0, Las Palmas won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Las Palmas 2, Granada 0.

Our call

We expect Granada to score about 1.9 goals and Las Palmas about 1.3. That points to Granada to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Granada to win and Over 2.5 at 2.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GranadaLas Palmas
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws24
Losses97
Goals scored2728
Goals conceded2933
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record4W 1D 4L3W 3D 3L
Away record5W 1D 5L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.62
Both teams to score61%1.64
Granada or Draw75%1.34
Las Palmas or Draw49%2.04
Granada to win and Over 2.536%2.79
Las Palmas to win and Over 2.517%5.98
Granada clean sheet28%3.52
Las Palmas clean sheet15%6.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.6%
2-07.7%
1-07.6%
1-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Granada vs Las Palmas?

Our prediction for Granada vs Las Palmas is Granada to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Granada vs Las Palmas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Granada to score 1.9 goals and Las Palmas 1.3.

Will both teams score in Granada vs Las Palmas?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Granada last 20 games and 14 of Las Palmas last 20.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Las Palmas playing?

Las Palmas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Granada and Las Palmas last met?

It ended Las Palmas 2, Granada 0. In the last 2 meetings Granada won 0 and Las Palmas won 1.

What is the best bet for Granada vs Las Palmas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Granada against Las Palmas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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