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Predictions › Spain › Granada vs Real Valladolid
LaLiga 2Fri 23 Oct, 18:30 Spain time

Granada vs Real Valladolid prediction

Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes

GranadaHome
1.54 : 0.98
expected goals
Real ValladolidAway
50%Granada
27%Draw
23%Valladolid
Eagle safe pickGranada or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Granada vs Real Valladolid is Granada to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Granada or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Granada to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Granada 1.5, Real Valladolid 1.0
Best bet
Granada or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Granada or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Granada to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Granada 50%, the draw 27% and Real Valladolid 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Granada took 7 points from their last 5 games and Real Valladolid took 8 from 5. Real Valladolid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Granada won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Real Valladolid won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Granada score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Real Valladolid score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Granada games and 7 of Real Valladolid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Granada won 1 and Real Valladolid won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Granada 5, Real Valladolid 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Granada or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Granadarecent form-1%
  • Granadarest between games-5%
  • Valladolidrest between games-5%
Granada form D W L L DValladolid form D D W D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Granada vs Real Valladolid: Granada are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Granada host Real Valladolid in the LaLiga 2 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:30 at Nuevo Estadio de Los Cármenes. Our prediction for Granada vs Real Valladolid is Granada to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Granada or Draw at 1.32.

Granada form

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Real Valladolid form

Real Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Granada won 1, Real Valladolid won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Granada 5, Real Valladolid 1.

Our call

We expect Granada to score about 1.5 goals and Real Valladolid about 1.0. That points to Granada to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Granada or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Granada to win and Over 2.5 at 3.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GranadaValladolid
Games played2020
Wins76
Draws24
Losses1110
Goals scored2721
Goals conceded3523
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record3W 1D 4L6W 1D 3L
Away record4W 1D 7L0W 3D 7L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score50%2.01
Granada or Draw77%1.30
Real Valladolid or Draw50%1.99
Granada to win and Over 2.528%3.52
Real Valladolid to win and Over 2.512%8.16
Granada clean sheet38%2.66
Real Valladolid clean sheet21%4.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-011.7%
2-09.6%
2-19.3%
0-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Granada vs Real Valladolid?

Our prediction for Granada vs Real Valladolid is Granada to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Granada or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Granada vs Real Valladolid?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Granada to score 1.5 goals and Real Valladolid 1.0.

Will both teams score in Granada vs Real Valladolid?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Granada last 20 games and 6 of Real Valladolid last 20.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Real Valladolid playing?

Real Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Granada and Real Valladolid last met?

It ended Granada 5, Real Valladolid 1. In the last 2 meetings Granada won 1 and Real Valladolid won 1.

What is the best bet for Granada vs Real Valladolid?

Granada or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Granada against Valladolid. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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