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Predictions › Austria › Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna
Austrian BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 17:30 Austria time

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna prediction

Merkur Arena

Grazer AKHome
1.66 : 1.06
expected goals
Austria ViennaAway
51%Grazer
26%Draw
24%Vienna
Eagle safe pickGrazer AK or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna is Grazer AK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Grazer AK to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Grazer AK 1.7, Austria Vienna 1.1
Best bet
Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grazer AK or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grazer AK to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Grazer AK 51%, the draw 26% and Austria Vienna 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Grazer AK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Austria Vienna took 3 from 5. Grazer AK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Grazer AK won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Austria Vienna won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Grazer AK score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Austria Vienna score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Grazer AK games and 9 of Austria Vienna games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Grazer AK won 0 and Austria Vienna won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Austria Vienna 2, Grazer AK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grazer AK or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viennarecent form-3%
  • Grazerrest between games-5%
Grazer form W D L L WVienna form L L D L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna: Grazer AK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Grazer AK host Austria Vienna in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 at Merkur Arena. Our prediction for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna is Grazer AK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27.

Grazer AK form

Grazer AK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Austria Vienna form

Austria Vienna have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Grazer AK won 0, Austria Vienna won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Austria Vienna 2, Grazer AK 1.

Our call

We expect Grazer AK to score about 1.7 goals and Austria Vienna about 1.1. That points to Grazer AK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Grazer AK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrazerVienna
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws43
Losses810
Goals scored2723
Goals conceded2834
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record5W 4D 0L2W 2D 5L
Away record3W 0D 8L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.44
Both teams to score54%1.86
Grazer AK or Draw76%1.31
Austria Vienna or Draw49%2.02
Grazer AK to win and Over 2.531%3.19
Austria Vienna to win and Over 2.514%7.35
Grazer AK clean sheet35%2.90
Austria Vienna clean sheet19%5.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-010.2%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%
0-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?

Our prediction for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna is Grazer AK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Grazer AK to score 1.7 goals and Austria Vienna 1.1.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Grazer AK last 20 games and 9 of Austria Vienna last 20.

How are Grazer AK playing?

Grazer AK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Austria Vienna playing?

Austria Vienna have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Grazer AK and Austria Vienna last met?

It ended Austria Vienna 2, Grazer AK 1. In the last 1 meeting Grazer AK won 0 and Austria Vienna won 1.

What is the best bet for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?

Grazer AK or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grazer against Vienna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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