Predictions › Austria › Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg

Austrian BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 15:00 Austria time

Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg prediction

Merkur Arena

Grazer AKHome

1.14 : 2.05

expected goals

RB SalzburgAway

20%Grazer

22%Draw

58%RB Salzburg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: RB Salzburg to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Grazer AK 1.1, RB Salzburg 2.0
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Grazer AK 20%, the draw 22% and RB Salzburg 58%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Salzburg the favourite at 1.44.
2
Recent form
Grazer AK took 5 points from their last 5 games and RB Salzburg took 13 from 5. RB Salzburg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Grazer AK won 5 of their last 9 games at home. RB Salzburg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Grazer AK score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. RB Salzburg score 1.6 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Grazer AK games and 10 of RB Salzburg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Grazer AK won 0 and RB Salzburg won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Grazer AK 1, RB Salzburg 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Grazerrecent form-1%
RB Salzburgrecent form+6%

Grazer form D W D L LRB Salzburg form W W D W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg: RB Salzburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Grazer AK host RB Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Merkur Arena. Our prediction for Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Grazer AK form

Grazer AK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Grazer AK won 0, RB Salzburg won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Grazer AK 1, RB Salzburg 1.

Our call

We expect Grazer AK to score about 1.1 goals and RB Salzburg about 2.0. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Grazer	RB Salzburg
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	9
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	6
Goals scored	28	33
Goals conceded	29	20
Scored per game	1.4	1.6
Conceded per game	1.4	1.0
Home record	5W 4D 0L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	3W 0D 8L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Grazer AK to win	20%	5.06	5.75	+13.6%
A Draw	22%	4.59	4.80	+4.5%
RB Salzburg to win	54%	1.84	1.44	-21.9%
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.53	2.10	-17.1%
Under 3.5 goals	54%	1.84	1.63	-11.8%
Grazer AK +1.5	55%	1.81	1.61	-11.2%
RB Salzburg -1.5	38%	2.60	2.05	-21.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.53
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Grazer AK or Draw	42%	2.37
RB Salzburg or Draw	80%	1.25
Grazer AK to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.55
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5	41%	2.42
Grazer AK clean sheet	13%	7.77
RB Salzburg clean sheet	32%	3.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%

1-29.9%

0-28.6%

0-17.9%

1-36.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg?

Our prediction for Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Grazer AK to score 1.1 goals and RB Salzburg 2.0.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Grazer AK last 20 games and 12 of RB Salzburg last 20.

How are Grazer AK playing?

How are RB Salzburg playing?

What happened when Grazer AK and RB Salzburg last met?

It ended Grazer AK 1, RB Salzburg 1. In the last 1 meeting Grazer AK won 0 and RB Salzburg won 0.

What is the best bet for Grazer AK vs RB Salzburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grazer against RB Salzburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.