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Predictions › United States › Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction

Raymond James Stadium

Green Bay PackersAway
21.8 : 19.3
projected points
Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome
64%Packers
36%Buccaneers
Eagle safe pickOver 32.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 21.8 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.3. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Green Bay Packers to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Green Bay Packers 22, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19
Projected total
41.1 points
Best bet
Over 32.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 32.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36% and Green Bay Packers 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Green Bay Packers the favourite at -185.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1 of their last 5 and Green Bay Packers won 3 of their last 5. Green Bay Packers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Green Bay Packers won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 20.5 points a game and let in 23.7. Green Bay Packers score 22.7 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 44.2 and 46.5 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 32.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Buccaneersrest between games-5%
  • Buccaneersteam news-1%
  • Packersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Green Bay Packers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Buccaneers host Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at Raymond James Stadium. Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 21.8 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.3. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -301.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 454 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Green Bay Packers to score about 21.8 points and Tampa Bay Buccaneers about 19.3. That points to Green Bay Packers to win. Our safest bet is Over 32.5 points at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BuccaneersPackers
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Points scored410454
Points conceded474477
Scored per game20.522.7
Conceded per game23.723.9
Home record4W 6L4W 4L
Away record3W 7L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Buccaneers to win36%+176+154-7.8%
Packers to win58%-141-185-9.9%
Buccaneers +3.550%+101-110-5.2%
Packers -3.544%+127-110-15.8%
Over 39.5 points52%-108-115-3.0%
Under 39.5 points42%+139-105-18.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Buccaneers spreadCoversFair
Buccaneers -4.530%+233
Buccaneers -0.541%+144
Buccaneers +2.550%+101
Buccaneers +5.559%-142
Buccaneers +9.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
34.569%31%
38.558%42%
41.549%51%
44.540%60%
48.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Buccaneers +3.5 wins if Buccaneers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Tampa Bay Blow as Jalen McMillan Re-Injures Knee Against Vikings

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Jalen McMillan has been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Minnesota Vikings after hurting his knee in the first quarter.

14 hours ago
NFL

Falcons Turn to Michael Penix Jr. to Solve Quarterback Crisis

Michael Penix Jr. is set to make his season debut for the winless Atlanta Falcons on Thursday against the Green Bay Packers.

21 Sept 2026
NFL

Mayfield Shocked as Buccaneers Fall to 0-2 After Loss to Browns

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are off to a rough 0-2 start after a frustrating 23-19 home loss to the Cleveland Browns.

21 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 21.8 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.3. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

We project Green Bay Packers 21.8 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.3, about 41.1 points in total.

How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 454 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Over 32.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Buccaneers against Packers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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