Predictions › France › Grenoble vs Boulogne
Ligue 2Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 France time

Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction

Stade des Alpes

GrenobleHome
0.68 : 0.63
expected goals
BoulogneAway
31%Grenoble
41%Draw
28%Boulogne
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Grenoble vs Boulogne is a draw, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
41%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Grenoble 0.7, Boulogne 0.6
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
24%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
28% chanceFair price 3.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Grenoble 31%, the draw 41% and Boulogne 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Grenoble took 7 points from their last 5 games and Boulogne took 4 from 5. Grenoble come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Grenoble won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Boulogne won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Grenoble score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Boulogne score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Grenoble games and 7 of Boulogne games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Grenoble won 0 and Boulogne won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Grenoble 0, Boulogne 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boulognerecent form-1%
Grenoble form D W L W LBoulogne form L D D D DHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Grenoble vs Boulogne: a draw looks likely

The big picture

Grenoble host Boulogne in the Ligue 2 on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 at Stade des Alpes. Our prediction for Grenoble vs Boulogne is a draw, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.21.

Grenoble form

Grenoble have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Boulogne form

Boulogne have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Grenoble won 0, Boulogne won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Grenoble 0, Boulogne 0.

Our call

We expect Grenoble to score about 0.7 goals and Boulogne about 0.6. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 3.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrenobleBoulogne
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws109
Losses68
Goals scored1815
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game0.90.8
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record1W 7D 1L1W 5D 5L
Away record3W 3D 5L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets45%40%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals38%2.61
Over 2.5 goals14%6.92
Over 3.5 goals4%22.83
Both teams to score24%4.22
Grenoble or Draw72%1.38
Boulogne or Draw69%1.45
Grenoble to win and Over 2.57%14.23
Boulogne to win and Over 2.56%16.31
Grenoble clean sheet53%1.87
Boulogne clean sheet51%1.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-027.8%
1-017.7%
0-116.3%
1-112.2%
2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Grenoble vs Boulogne?

Our prediction for Grenoble vs Boulogne is a draw, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Grenoble vs Boulogne?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Grenoble to score 0.7 goals and Boulogne 0.6.

Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Boulogne?

Both teams to score has a 24% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Grenoble last 20 games and 9 of Boulogne last 20.

How are Grenoble playing?

Grenoble have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Boulogne playing?

Boulogne have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Grenoble and Boulogne last met?

It ended Grenoble 0, Boulogne 0. In the last 2 meetings Grenoble won 0 and Boulogne won 1.

What is the best bet for Grenoble vs Boulogne?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grenoble against Boulogne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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