PredictionsFranceGrenoble vs Clermont Foot
Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 France time

Grenoble vs Clermont Foot prediction

Stade des Alpes

GrenobleHome
1.25 : 1.01
expected goals
Clermont FootAway
41%Grenoble
30%Draw
29%Clermont Foot
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Grenoble vs Clermont Foot is Grenoble to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Grenoble to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Grenoble 1.3, Clermont Foot 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Grenoble 41%, the draw 30% and Clermont Foot 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Grenoble the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Grenoble took 7 points from their last 5 games and Clermont Foot took 4 from 5. Grenoble come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Grenoble won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Clermont Foot won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Grenoble score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Clermont Foot score 1.0 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Grenoble games and 8 of Clermont Foot games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Grenoble won 0 and Clermont Foot won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Grenoble 2, Clermont Foot 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Clermont Footrecent form-1%
  • Grenoblerest between games-5%
  • Clermont Footrest between games-5%
Grenoble form W L W L DClermont Foot form D D D D LHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Grenoble vs Clermont Foot: Grenoble shade it

The big picture

Grenoble host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Stade des Alpes. Our prediction for Grenoble vs Clermont Foot is Grenoble to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Grenoble form

Grenoble have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Clermont Foot form

Clermont Foot have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Grenoble won 0, Clermont Foot won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Grenoble 2, Clermont Foot 2.

Our call

We expect Grenoble to score about 1.3 goals and Clermont Foot about 1.0. That points to Grenoble to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrenobleClermont Foot
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws98
Losses68
Goals scored1920
Goals conceded2224
Scored per game0.91.0
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record2W 6D 1L2W 6D 4L
Away record3W 3D 5L2W 2D 4L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Grenoble to win37%2.672.20-17.7%
A Draw28%3.533.20-9.4%
Clermont Foot to win28%3.633.20-11.8%
Over 2.5 goals39%2.542.10-17.4%
Under 2.5 goals58%1.721.63-5.4%
Grenoble -0.539%2.542.10-17.3%
Clermont Foot +0.558%1.721.59-7.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.54
Over 3.5 goals19%5.18
Both teams to score46%2.16
Grenoble or Draw71%1.41
Clermont Foot or Draw59%1.69
Grenoble to win and Over 2.520%4.88
Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.514%7.10
Grenoble clean sheet36%2.76
Clermont Foot clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-012.2%
0-011.2%
0-19.8%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Grenoble vs Clermont Foot?

Our prediction for Grenoble vs Clermont Foot is Grenoble to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Grenoble vs Clermont Foot?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Grenoble to score 1.3 goals and Clermont Foot 1.0.

Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Clermont Foot?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Grenoble last 20 games and 11 of Clermont Foot last 20.

How are Grenoble playing?

Grenoble have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Clermont Foot playing?

Clermont Foot have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Grenoble and Clermont Foot last met?

It ended Grenoble 2, Clermont Foot 2. In the last 1 meeting Grenoble won 0 and Clermont Foot won 0.

What is the best bet for Grenoble vs Clermont Foot?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grenoble against Clermont Foot. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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