PredictionsFranceGuingamp vs Red Star FC 93
Ligue 2Sat 19 Sept, 12:00 France time

Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93 prediction

Stade Municipal de Roudourou

GuingampHome
0.99 : 1.19
expected goals
Red Star FC 93Away
30%Guingamp
31%Draw
40%Red Star FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Red Star FC 93 to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Guingamp 1.0, Red Star FC 93 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Guingamp 30%, the draw 31% and Red Star FC 93 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Guingamp took 8 points from their last 5 games and Red Star FC 93 took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Guingamp won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Red Star FC 93 won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Guingamp score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Red Star FC 93 score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Guingamp games and 10 of Red Star FC 93 games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Guingamp won 0 and Red Star FC 93 won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Star FC 93 3, Guingamp 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Guingamprecent form+1%
  • Red Star FC recent form+1%
  • Guingamprest between games-5%
Guingamp form W D D L WRed Star FC form W L D D WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93: Red Star FC 93 shade it

The big picture

Guingamp host Red Star FC 93 in the Ligue 2 on Sat 19 Sept, 12:00 at Stade Municipal de Roudourou. Our prediction for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Guingamp form

Guingamp have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Red Star FC 93 form

Red Star FC 93 have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Guingamp won 0, Red Star FC 93 won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Star FC 93 3, Guingamp 2.

Our call

We expect Guingamp to score about 1.0 goals and Red Star FC 93 about 1.2. That points to Red Star FC 93 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GuingampRed Star FC
Games played2020
Wins38
Draws77
Losses105
Goals scored1926
Goals conceded2827
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record3W 3D 3L4W 5D 2L
Away record0W 4D 7L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.68
Over 3.5 goals18%5.62
Both teams to score45%2.24
Guingamp or Draw60%1.66
Red Star FC 93 or Draw70%1.42
Guingamp to win and Over 2.514%7.25
Red Star FC 93 to win and Over 2.519%5.25
Guingamp clean sheet30%3.29
Red Star FC 93 clean sheet37%2.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
0-112.6%
0-012.0%
1-010.4%
0-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93 is Red Star FC 93 to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Guingamp to score 1.0 goals and Red Star FC 93 1.2.

Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Guingamp last 20 games and 12 of Red Star FC 93 last 20.

How are Guingamp playing?

Guingamp have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Red Star FC 93 playing?

Red Star FC 93 have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Guingamp and Red Star FC 93 last met?

It ended Red Star FC 93 3, Guingamp 2. In the last 1 meeting Guingamp won 0 and Red Star FC 93 won 1.

What is the best bet for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Guingamp against Red Star FC . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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