Predictions › France › Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron

Ligue 2Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 France time

Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron prediction

Stade Municipal de Roudourou

GuingampHome

1.65 : 1.28

expected goals

Rodez AveyronAway

45%Guingamp

26%Draw

29%Rodez Aveyron

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron is Guingamp to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Guingamp to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Guingamp 1.6, Rodez Aveyron 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Guingamp to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Guingamp 45%, the draw 26% and Rodez Aveyron 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Guingamp the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Guingamp took 6 points from their last 5 games and Rodez Aveyron took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Guingamp won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Rodez Aveyron won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Guingamp score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rodez Aveyron score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Guingamp games and 12 of Rodez Aveyron games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Guingamp won 0 and Rodez Aveyron won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Guingamp 0, Rodez Aveyron 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Rodez Aveyronrecent form-1%

Guingamp form D W W L LRodez Aveyron form L W W L LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron: Guingamp are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Guingamp host Rodez Aveyron in the Ligue 2 on Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 at Stade Municipal de Roudourou. Our prediction for Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron is Guingamp to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Guingamp form

Guingamp have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Guingamp won 0, Rodez Aveyron won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Guingamp 0, Rodez Aveyron 0.

Our call

We expect Guingamp to score about 1.6 goals and Rodez Aveyron about 1.3. That points to Guingamp to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Guingamp to win and Over 2.5 at 3.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Guingamp	Rodez Aveyron
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	3	4
Losses	12	7
Goals scored	21	30
Goals conceded	29	31
Scored per game	1.1	1.5
Conceded per game	1.4	1.6
Home record	4W 2D 4L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	1W 1D 8L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Guingamp to win	43%	2.32	2.00	-13.9%
A Draw	25%	4.00	3.60	-10.0%
Rodez Aveyron to win	29%	3.48	3.30	-5.2%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.93	1.59	-17.8%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.42	2.15	-11.2%
Guingamp -0.5	44%	2.27	1.91	-15.8%
Rodez Aveyron +0.5	49%	2.04	1.71	-16.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.97
Both teams to score	59%	1.70
Guingamp or Draw	71%	1.41
Rodez Aveyron or Draw	55%	1.83
Guingamp to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.35
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.39
Guingamp clean sheet	28%	3.60
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet	19%	5.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%

2-19.3%

1-08.1%

2-07.3%

1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron?

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron is Guingamp to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Guingamp to score 1.6 goals and Rodez Aveyron 1.3.

Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Guingamp last 20 games and 13 of Rodez Aveyron last 20.

How are Guingamp playing?

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

What happened when Guingamp and Rodez Aveyron last met?

It ended Guingamp 0, Rodez Aveyron 0. In the last 2 meetings Guingamp won 0 and Rodez Aveyron won 1.

What is the best bet for Guingamp vs Rodez Aveyron?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Guingamp against Rodez Aveyron. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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