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Predictions › France › Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne
Ligue 2Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 France time

Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne prediction

Stade Municipal de Roudourou

GuingampHome
1.12 : 1.50
expected goals
Saint-ÉtienneAway
27%Guingamp
27%Draw
45%St. Étienne
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Saint-Étienne to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Guingamp 1.1, Saint-Étienne 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Guingamp 27%, the draw 27% and Saint-Étienne 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Guingamp took 4 points from their last 5 games and Saint-Étienne took 10 from 5. Saint-Étienne come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Guingamp won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Saint-Étienne won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Guingamp score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Saint-Étienne score 2.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Guingamp games and 14 of Saint-Étienne games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Guingamp won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Guingamp 1, Saint-Étienne 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Guingamprecent form-1%
  • St. Étiennerecent form+1%
Guingamp form D L L W DSt. Étienne form D W D L WHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: Saint-Étienne are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Guingamp host Saint-Étienne in the Ligue 2 on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Stade Municipal de Roudourou. Our prediction for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Guingamp form

Guingamp have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Saint-Étienne form

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Guingamp won 1, Saint-Étienne won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Guingamp 1, Saint-Étienne 2.

Our call

We expect Guingamp to score about 1.1 goals and Saint-Étienne about 1.5. That points to Saint-Étienne to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.5 at 3.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GuingampSt. Étienne
Games played2020
Wins313
Draws63
Losses114
Goals scored1942
Goals conceded2918
Scored per game0.92.1
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record3W 3D 4L9W 0D 1L
Away record0W 3D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.72
Both teams to score53%1.88
Guingamp or Draw55%1.83
Saint-Étienne or Draw73%1.38
Guingamp to win and Over 2.516%6.44
Saint-Étienne to win and Over 2.527%3.70
Guingamp clean sheet22%4.50
Saint-Étienne clean sheet33%3.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-110.2%
1-29.2%
0-28.2%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne is Saint-Étienne to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Guingamp to score 1.1 goals and Saint-Étienne 1.5.

Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Guingamp last 20 games and 9 of Saint-Étienne last 20.

How are Guingamp playing?

Guingamp have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Saint-Étienne playing?

Saint-Étienne have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Guingamp and Saint-Étienne last met?

It ended Guingamp 1, Saint-Étienne 2. In the last 2 meetings Guingamp won 1 and Saint-Étienne won 1.

What is the best bet for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Guingamp against St. Étienne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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