EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Conference League › Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction

Stadion Poljud

Hajduk SplitHome
1.00 : 2.10
expected goals
Ajax AmsterdamAway
17%Hajduk Split
21%Draw
62%Ajax
Eagle safe pickAjax Amsterdam or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Ajax Amsterdam to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hajduk Split 1.0, Ajax Amsterdam 2.1
Best bet
Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ajax Amsterdam or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hajduk Split 17%, the draw 21% and Ajax Amsterdam 62%. The bookmakers agree and make Ajax Amsterdam the favourite at 1.50.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Ajax Amsterdam or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hajduk Splitrecent form+3%
  • Ajaxrecent form+3%
Hajduk Split form W D W W LAjax form D W W L WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam: Ajax Amsterdam are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hajduk Split host Ajax Amsterdam in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Stadion Poljud. Our prediction for Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24.

Hajduk Split form

Hajduk Split have no recent games in our records yet.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hajduk Split to score about 1.0 goals and Ajax Amsterdam about 2.1. That points to Ajax Amsterdam to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.5 at 2.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Hajduk SplitAjax
Games playedn/a20
Winsn/a8
Drawsn/a8
Lossesn/a4
Goals scoredn/a40
Goals concededn/a21
Scored per gamen/a2.0
Conceded per gamen/a1.1
Home recordn/a3W 5D 3L
Away recordn/a5W 3D 1L
Clean sheetsn/a40%
Both teams scoredn/a60%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Hajduk Split to win16%6.155.50-10.6%
A Draw21%4.764.50-5.4%
Ajax Amsterdam to win61%1.651.50-9.0%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.751.54-11.8%
Under 2.5 goals38%2.662.30-13.4%
Hajduk Split +1.557%1.741.53-12.5%
Ajax Amsterdam -1.538%2.662.25-15.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%2.67
Both teams to score56%1.78
Hajduk Split or Draw38%2.64
Ajax Amsterdam or Draw83%1.20
Hajduk Split to win and Over 2.510%9.67
Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.543%2.31
Hajduk Split clean sheet12%8.17
Ajax Amsterdam clean sheet37%2.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
0-29.9%
1-29.9%
0-18.9%
0-37.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Our prediction for Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-2. We expect Hajduk Split to score 1.0 goals and Ajax Amsterdam 2.1.

Will both teams score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hajduk Split against Ajax. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.