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Predictions › Sweden › Halmstads BK vs AIK
AllsvenskanSun 20 Sept, 12:00 Sweden time

Halmstads BK vs AIK prediction

Örjans Vall

Halmstads BKHome
0.70 : 1.76
expected goals
AIKAway
14%Halmstads
24%Draw
62%AIK
Eagle safe pickAIK draw no bet
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs AIK is AIK to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AIK draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction
AIK to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Halmstads BK 0.7, AIK 1.8
Best bet
AIK draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AIK draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AIK to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Halmstads BK 14%, the draw 24% and AIK 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Halmstads BK took 4 points from their last 5 games and AIK took 10 from 5. AIK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Halmstads BK won 2 of their last 10 games at home. AIK won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Halmstads BK score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. AIK score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Halmstads BK games and 13 of AIK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Halmstads BK won 1 and AIK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AIK 2, Halmstads BK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AIK draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Halmstadsrecent form-3%
  • AIKrecent form+3%
  • Halmstadsrest between games-5%
  • AIKrest between games-5%
Halmstads form L L W D LAIK form L D W W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Halmstads BK vs AIK: AIK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Halmstads BK host AIK in the Allsvenskan on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Örjans Vall. Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs AIK is AIK to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AIK draw no bet at 1.20.

Halmstads BK form

Halmstads BK have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

AIK form

AIK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Halmstads BK won 1, AIK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AIK 2, Halmstads BK 1.

Our call

We expect Halmstads BK to score about 0.7 goals and AIK about 1.8. That points to AIK to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AIK draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is AIK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HalmstadsAIK
Games played2020
Wins29
Draws55
Losses136
Goals scored1329
Goals conceded3731
Scored per game0.71.4
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record2W 2D 6L4W 0D 5L
Away record0W 3D 7L5W 5D 1L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals30%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.27
Both teams to score42%2.36
Halmstads BK or Draw38%2.65
AIK or Draw86%1.16
Halmstads BK to win and Over 2.56%15.86
AIK to win and Over 2.535%2.89
Halmstads BK clean sheet17%5.82
AIK clean sheet50%2.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.4%
0-213.2%
1-111.1%
1-29.3%
0-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Halmstads BK vs AIK?

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs AIK is AIK to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AIK draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Halmstads BK vs AIK?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Halmstads BK to score 0.7 goals and AIK 1.8.

Will both teams score in Halmstads BK vs AIK?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Halmstads BK last 20 games and 13 of AIK last 20.

How are Halmstads BK playing?

Halmstads BK have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Halmstads BK and AIK last met?

It ended AIK 2, Halmstads BK 1. In the last 2 meetings Halmstads BK won 1 and AIK won 1.

What is the best bet for Halmstads BK vs AIK?

AIK draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Halmstads against AIK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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