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Predictions › Sweden › Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF
AllsvenskanSun 18 Oct, 14:30 Sweden time

Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF prediction

Örjans Vall

Halmstads BKHome
0.87 : 1.64
expected goals
Hammarby IFAway
19%Halmstads
26%Draw
55%Hammarby
Eagle safe pickHammarby IF or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Hammarby IF to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Halmstads BK 0.9, Hammarby IF 1.6
Best bet
Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hammarby IF or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Halmstads BK 19%, the draw 26% and Hammarby IF 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Halmstads BK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Hammarby IF took 10 from 5. Hammarby IF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Halmstads BK won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Hammarby IF won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Halmstads BK score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Hammarby IF score 2.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Halmstads BK games and 11 of Hammarby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Halmstads BK won 1 and Hammarby IF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Hammarby IF 1, Halmstads BK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hammarby IF or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hammarbyrecent form+3%
Halmstads form W L L W DHammarby form W W D L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Halmstads BK host Hammarby IF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 at Örjans Vall. Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28.

Halmstads BK form

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Halmstads BK won 1, Hammarby IF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Hammarby IF 1, Halmstads BK 1.

Our call

We expect Halmstads BK to score about 0.9 goals and Hammarby IF about 1.6. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HalmstadsHammarby
Games played2020
Wins312
Draws54
Losses124
Goals scored1546
Goals conceded3518
Scored per game0.82.3
Conceded per game1.80.9
Home record3W 2D 5L8W 1D 1L
Away record0W 3D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets10%40%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals30%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%4.11
Both teams to score47%2.11
Halmstads BK or Draw45%2.21
Hammarby IF or Draw81%1.24
Halmstads BK to win and Over 2.510%10.33
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.531%3.20
Halmstads BK clean sheet19%5.14
Hammarby IF clean sheet42%2.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.7%
1-112.3%
0-210.9%
1-29.5%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF?

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF is Hammarby IF to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Halmstads BK to score 0.9 goals and Hammarby IF 1.6.

Will both teams score in Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Halmstads BK last 20 games and 11 of Hammarby IF last 20.

How are Halmstads BK playing?

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Halmstads BK and Hammarby IF last met?

It ended Hammarby IF 1, Halmstads BK 1. In the last 2 meetings Halmstads BK won 1 and Hammarby IF won 0.

What is the best bet for Halmstads BK vs Hammarby IF?

Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Halmstads against Hammarby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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