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Predictions › Sweden › Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF
AllsvenskanWed 28 Oct, 18:00 Sweden time

Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF prediction

Örjans Vall

Halmstads BKHome
0.76 : 1.31
expected goals
Malmö FFAway
21%Halmstads
30%Draw
49%Malmö
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Malmö FF to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Halmstads BK 0.8, Malmö FF 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
16% chanceFair price 6.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Halmstads BK 21%, the draw 30% and Malmö FF 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Halmstads BK took 3 points from their last 5 games and Malmö FF took 7 from 5. Malmö FF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Halmstads BK won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Malmö FF won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Halmstads BK score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Malmö FF score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Halmstads BK games and 12 of Malmö FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Halmstads BK won 0 and Malmö FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Malmö FF 5, Halmstads BK 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Halmstadsrecent form-3%
  • Malmörecent form+1%
  • Halmstadsrest between games-5%
  • Malmörest between games-5%
Halmstads form D L W L LMalmö form D W L W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF: Malmö FF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Halmstads BK host Malmö FF in the Allsvenskan on Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 at Örjans Vall. Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Halmstads BK form

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Halmstads BK won 0, Malmö FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Malmö FF 5, Halmstads BK 2.

Our call

We expect Halmstads BK to score about 0.8 goals and Malmö FF about 1.3. That points to Malmö FF to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HalmstadsMalmö
Games played2020
Wins39
Draws32
Losses149
Goals scored1331
Goals conceded3829
Scored per game0.71.6
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record3W 1D 6L4W 1D 6L
Away record0W 2D 8L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets10%35%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.93
Over 3.5 goals15%6.46
Both teams to score39%2.53
Halmstads BK or Draw51%1.96
Malmö FF or Draw79%1.26
Halmstads BK to win and Over 2.58%11.97
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.522%4.49
Halmstads BK clean sheet27%3.70
Malmö FF clean sheet47%2.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.8%
0-013.4%
1-113.3%
0-210.9%
1-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?

Our prediction for Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Halmstads BK to score 0.8 goals and Malmö FF 1.3.

Will both teams score in Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Halmstads BK last 20 games and 10 of Malmö FF last 20.

How are Halmstads BK playing?

Halmstads BK have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Halmstads BK and Malmö FF last met?

It ended Malmö FF 5, Halmstads BK 2. In the last 1 meeting Halmstads BK won 0 and Malmö FF won 1.

What is the best bet for Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Halmstads against Malmö. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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