Predictions › Norway › Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad

EliteserienSat 21 Nov, 15:00 Norway time

Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad prediction

Briskeby Stadion

HamarkamerateneHome

1.89 : 1.46

expected goals

FredrikstadAway

47%Hamarkameratene

23%Draw

29%Fredrikstad

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad is Hamarkameratene to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Hamarkameratene to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hamarkameratene 1.9, Fredrikstad 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hamarkameratene 47%, the draw 23% and Fredrikstad 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Hamarkameratene took 7 points from their last 5 games and Fredrikstad took 2 from 5. Hamarkameratene come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hamarkameratene won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Fredrikstad won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Hamarkameratene score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. Fredrikstad score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Hamarkameratene games and 11 of Fredrikstad games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Hamarkameratene won 0 and Fredrikstad won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fredrikstad 2, Hamarkameratene 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fredrikstadrecent form-4%

Hamarkameratene form W D L L WFredrikstad form D L L L DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad: Hamarkameratene are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hamarkameratene host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Briskeby Stadion. Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad is Hamarkameratene to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Hamarkameratene form

Hamarkameratene have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Fredrikstad form

Fredrikstad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hamarkameratene won 0, Fredrikstad won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fredrikstad 2, Hamarkameratene 1.

Our call

We expect Hamarkameratene to score about 1.9 goals and Fredrikstad about 1.5. That points to Hamarkameratene to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5 at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hamarkameratene	Fredrikstad
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	9
Goals scored	25	23
Goals conceded	39	34
Scored per game	1.3	1.1
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	3W 2D 4L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.17
Over 2.5 goals	65%	1.54
Over 3.5 goals	43%	2.32
Both teams to score	66%	1.52
Hamarkameratene or Draw	71%	1.41
Fredrikstad or Draw	53%	1.90
Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.86
Fredrikstad to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.77
Hamarkameratene clean sheet	23%	4.29
Fredrikstad clean sheet	15%	6.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%

2-19.2%

1-27.1%

2-26.7%

2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad?

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad is Hamarkameratene to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Hamarkameratene to score 1.9 goals and Fredrikstad 1.5.

Will both teams score in Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Hamarkameratene last 20 games and 13 of Fredrikstad last 20.

How are Hamarkameratene playing?

How are Fredrikstad playing?

What happened when Hamarkameratene and Fredrikstad last met?

It ended Fredrikstad 2, Hamarkameratene 1. In the last 2 meetings Hamarkameratene won 0 and Fredrikstad won 1.

What is the best bet for Hamarkameratene vs Fredrikstad?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hamarkameratene against Fredrikstad. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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