Predictions › Norway › Hamarkameratene vs Molde

EliteserienSun 13 Sept, 15:00 Norway time

Hamarkameratene vs Molde prediction

Briskeby Stadion

HamarkamerateneHome

1.42 : 2.00

expected goals

MoldeAway

27%Hamarkameratene

23%Draw

51%Molde

Eagle safe pickMolde or Draw

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Molde or Draw at 1.35.

Prediction: Molde to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hamarkameratene 1.4, Molde 2.0
Best bet: Molde or Draw at 1.35
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Molde or Draw

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hamarkameratene to win

25% chancePrice 4.50+13.6% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hamarkameratene 27%, the draw 23% and Molde 51%. The bookmakers agree and make Molde the favourite at 1.65.
2
Recent form
Hamarkameratene took 5 points from their last 5 games and Molde took 10 from 5. Molde come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hamarkameratene won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Molde won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Hamarkameratene score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. Molde score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Hamarkameratene games and 12 of Molde games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Hamarkameratene won 0 and Molde won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Molde 4, Hamarkameratene 1.
6
The safest bet
Molde or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Hamarkameratenerecent form-1%
Molderecent form+3%

Hamarkameratene form L D L D WMolde form W W W L DHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hamarkameratene vs Molde: Molde are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hamarkameratene host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at Briskeby Stadion. Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Molde or Draw at 1.35.

Hamarkameratene form

Hamarkameratene have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Molde form

Molde have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Hamarkameratene won 0, Molde won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Molde 4, Hamarkameratene 1.

Our call

We expect Hamarkameratene to score about 1.4 goals and Molde about 2.0. That points to Molde to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Molde or Draw at 1.35. Our bold bet is Hamarkameratene to win at 4.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hamarkameratene	Molde
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	9	7
Goals scored	25	38
Goals conceded	37	30
Scored per game	1.3	1.9
Conceded per game	1.9	1.5
Home record	5W 2D 2L	7W 1D 2L
Away record	1W 3D 7L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Hamarkameratene to win	25%	3.96	4.50	+13.6%
A Draw	21%	4.72	4.40	-6.8%
Molde to win	49%	2.02	1.65	-18.7%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.38	2.10	-11.6%
Under 3.5 goals	55%	1.80	1.69	-6.3%
Hamarkameratene +0.5	42%	2.39	2.20	-8.0%
Molde -0.5	56%	1.80	1.61	-10.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.24
Both teams to score	66%	1.51
Hamarkameratene or Draw	49%	2.02
Molde or Draw	73%	1.36
Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.18
Molde to win and Over 2.5	38%	2.63
Hamarkameratene clean sheet	14%	7.39
Molde clean sheet	24%	4.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%

1-29.3%

2-26.6%

2-16.6%

0-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hamarkameratene vs Molde?

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Molde or Draw at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Molde?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Hamarkameratene to score 1.4 goals and Molde 2.0.

Will both teams score in Hamarkameratene vs Molde?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hamarkameratene last 20 games and 13 of Molde last 20.

How are Hamarkameratene playing?

How are Molde playing?

What happened when Hamarkameratene and Molde last met?

It ended Molde 4, Hamarkameratene 1. In the last 1 meeting Hamarkameratene won 0 and Molde won 1.

What is the best bet for Hamarkameratene vs Molde?

Molde or Draw at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hamarkameratene against Molde. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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