Predictions › Norway › Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg

EliteserienSat 24 Oct, 16:00 Norway time

Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg prediction

Briskeby Stadion

HamarkamerateneHome

1.70 : 1.86

expected goals

RosenborgAway

35%Hamarkameratene

23%Draw

42%Rosenborg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction: Rosenborg to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hamarkameratene 1.7, Rosenborg 1.9
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score: 70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hamarkameratene 35%, the draw 23% and Rosenborg 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Hamarkameratene took 4 points from their last 5 games and Rosenborg took 10 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hamarkameratene won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Rosenborg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Hamarkameratene score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Rosenborg score 2.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Hamarkameratene games and 13 of Rosenborg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Hamarkameratene won 1 and Rosenborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosenborg 4, Hamarkameratene 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Hamarkameratenerecent form-4%
Rosenborgrecent form+3%

Hamarkameratene form D L L L DRosenborg form D W W W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg: Rosenborg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hamarkameratene host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 at Briskeby Stadion. Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Hamarkameratene form

Hamarkameratene have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hamarkameratene won 1, Rosenborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosenborg 4, Hamarkameratene 0.

Our call

We expect Hamarkameratene to score about 1.7 goals and Rosenborg about 1.9. That points to Rosenborg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hamarkameratene	Rosenborg
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	5	4
Losses	9	6
Goals scored	28	40
Goals conceded	38	27
Scored per game	1.4	2.0
Conceded per game	1.9	1.4
Home record	4W 2D 2L	7W 3D 1L
Away record	2W 3D 7L	3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	88%	1.14
Over 2.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 3.5 goals	48%	2.10
Both teams to score	70%	1.44
Hamarkameratene or Draw	58%	1.71
Rosenborg or Draw	65%	1.55
Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.72
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.13
Hamarkameratene clean sheet	16%	6.41
Rosenborg clean sheet	18%	5.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.5%

1-28.4%

2-17.7%

2-27.1%

1-35.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Hamarkameratene to score 1.7 goals and Rosenborg 1.9.

Will both teams score in Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hamarkameratene last 20 games and 10 of Rosenborg last 20.

How are Hamarkameratene playing?

How are Rosenborg playing?

What happened when Hamarkameratene and Rosenborg last met?

It ended Rosenborg 4, Hamarkameratene 0. In the last 2 meetings Hamarkameratene won 1 and Rosenborg won 1.

What is the best bet for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hamarkameratene against Rosenborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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