Predictions › Norway › Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK

EliteserienSun 8 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK prediction

Briskeby Stadion

HamarkamerateneHome

1.41 : 1.89

expected goals

Sarpsborg FKAway

28%Hamarkameratene

24%Draw

48%Sarpsborg FK

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Sarpsborg FK to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hamarkameratene 1.4, Sarpsborg FK 1.9
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hamarkameratene 28%, the draw 24% and Sarpsborg FK 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Hamarkameratene took 3 points from their last 5 games and Sarpsborg FK took 7 from 5. Sarpsborg FK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hamarkameratene won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Sarpsborg FK won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Hamarkameratene score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Sarpsborg FK score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Hamarkameratene games and 13 of Sarpsborg FK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Hamarkameratene won 0 and Sarpsborg FK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sarpsborg FK 1, Hamarkameratene 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Hamarkameratenerecent form-3%
Sarpsborg FKrecent form-1%

Hamarkameratene form D L W L LSarpsborg FK form D L W L DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK: Sarpsborg FK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hamarkameratene host Sarpsborg FK in the Eliteserien on Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 at Briskeby Stadion. Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Hamarkameratene form

Hamarkameratene have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Sarpsborg FK form

Sarpsborg FK have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Hamarkameratene won 0, Sarpsborg FK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sarpsborg FK 1, Hamarkameratene 0.

Our call

We expect Hamarkameratene to score about 1.4 goals and Sarpsborg FK about 1.9. That points to Sarpsborg FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hamarkameratene	Sarpsborg FK
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	23	25
Goals conceded	39	31
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.9	1.6
Home record	3W 2D 4L	5W 1D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.18
Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.56
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.39
Both teams to score	65%	1.55
Hamarkameratene or Draw	52%	1.93
Sarpsborg FK or Draw	72%	1.39
Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.02
Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.84
Hamarkameratene clean sheet	15%	6.59
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet	24%	4.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%

1-29.3%

2-16.9%

0-26.6%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK?

Our prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Hamarkameratene to score 1.4 goals and Sarpsborg FK 1.9.

Will both teams score in Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Hamarkameratene last 20 games and 12 of Sarpsborg FK last 20.

How are Hamarkameratene playing?

How are Sarpsborg FK playing?

What happened when Hamarkameratene and Sarpsborg FK last met?

It ended Sarpsborg FK 1, Hamarkameratene 0. In the last 1 meeting Hamarkameratene won 0 and Sarpsborg FK won 1.

What is the best bet for Hamarkameratene vs Sarpsborg FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hamarkameratene against Sarpsborg FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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