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Predictions › Sweden › Hammarby IF vs Djurgården
AllsvenskanSun 11 Oct, 12:00 Sweden time

Hammarby IF vs Djurgården prediction

Tele2 Arena

Hammarby IFHome
1.57 : 0.93
expected goals
DjurgårdenAway
52%Hammarby
27%Draw
22%Djurgården
Eagle safe pickHammarby IF or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs Djurgården is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Hammarby IF to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hammarby IF 1.6, Djurgården 0.9
Best bet
Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hammarby IF or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hammarby IF 52%, the draw 27% and Djurgården 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hammarby IF took 10 points from their last 5 games and Djurgården took 12 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hammarby IF won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Djurgården won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hammarby IF score 2.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Djurgården score 2.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hammarby IF games and 12 of Djurgården games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hammarby IF won 0 and Djurgården won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Djurgården 1, Hammarby IF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hammarby IF or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hammarbyrecent form+3%
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+4%
Hammarby form W W D L WDjurgården form L W W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hammarby IF vs Djurgården: Hammarby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hammarby IF host Djurgården in the Allsvenskan on Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs Djurgården is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hammarby IF won 0, Djurgården won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Djurgården 1, Hammarby IF 1.

Our call

We expect Hammarby IF to score about 1.6 goals and Djurgården about 0.9. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HammarbyDjurgården
Games played2020
Wins1211
Draws42
Losses47
Goals scored4643
Goals conceded1819
Scored per game2.32.1
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record8W 1D 1L5W 1D 5L
Away record4W 3D 3L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets40%50%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%4.13
Both teams to score49%2.06
Hammarby IF or Draw78%1.28
Djurgården or Draw48%2.06
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.529%3.42
Djurgården to win and Over 2.511%8.96
Hammarby IF clean sheet39%2.53
Djurgården clean sheet21%4.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-012.2%
2-010.1%
2-19.4%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hammarby IF vs Djurgården?

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs Djurgården is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Hammarby IF vs Djurgården?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Hammarby IF to score 1.6 goals and Djurgården 0.9.

Will both teams score in Hammarby IF vs Djurgården?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hammarby IF last 20 games and 8 of Djurgården last 20.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Hammarby IF and Djurgården last met?

It ended Djurgården 1, Hammarby IF 1. In the last 2 meetings Hammarby IF won 0 and Djurgården won 0.

What is the best bet for Hammarby IF vs Djurgården?

Hammarby IF or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hammarby against Djurgården. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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