Predictions › Sweden › Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna

AllsvenskanSun 13 Sept, 12:00 Sweden time

Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction

Tele2 Arena

Hammarby IFHome

3.02 : 0.95

expected goals

IF BrommapojkarnaAway

78%Hammarby

13%Draw

8%Brommapojkar

Eagle safe pickHammarby IF to win

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna is Hammarby IF to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Hammarby IF to win at 1.22.

Prediction: Hammarby IF to win
Chance: 78%
Most likely score: 3-0
Expected goals: Hammarby IF 3.0, IF Brommapojkarna 0.9
Best bet: Hammarby IF to win at 1.22
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hammarby IF to win

81% chancePrice 1.221 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and both score

39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hammarby IF 78%, the draw 13% and IF Brommapojkarna 8%. The bookmakers agree and make Hammarby IF the favourite at 1.22.
2
Recent form
Hammarby IF took 10 points from their last 5 games and IF Brommapojkarna took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Hammarby IF won 8 of their last 10 games at home. IF Brommapojkarna won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Hammarby IF score 2.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. IF Brommapojkarna score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hammarby IF games and 15 of IF Brommapojkarna games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Hammarby IF won 0 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Hammarby IF 1.
6
The safest bet
Hammarby IF to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Brommapojkarrecent form+3%

Hammarby form D L W W LBrommapojkar form W L W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna: Hammarby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hammarby IF host IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan on Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna is Hammarby IF to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Hammarby IF to win at 1.22.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

IF Brommapojkarna form

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Hammarby IF won 0, IF Brommapojkarna won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished IF Brommapojkarna 1, Hammarby IF 1.

Our call

We expect Hammarby IF to score about 3.0 goals and IF Brommapojkarna about 0.9. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hammarby IF to win at 1.22. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and both score at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hammarby	Brommapojkar
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	7
Draws	4	6
Losses	5	7
Goals scored	45	29
Goals conceded	19	32
Scored per game	2.3	1.4
Conceded per game	0.9	1.6
Home record	8W 1D 1L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	40%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Hammarby IF to win	81%	1.24	1.22	-1.3%
A Draw	11%	8.73	7.00	-19.9%
IF Brommapojkarna to win	6%	15.60	10.50	-32.7%
Over 3.5 goals	53%	1.90	1.80	-5.1%
Under 3.5 goals	45%	2.23	1.95	-12.6%
Hammarby IF -1.5	60%	1.66	1.57	-5.6%
IF Brommapojkarna +1.5	37%	2.67	2.25	-15.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 3.5 goals	56%	1.79
Both teams to score	59%	1.71
Hammarby IF or Draw	92%	1.09
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw	22%	4.63
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5	64%	1.55
IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5	6%	16.77
Hammarby IF clean sheet	39%	2.58
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet	5%	20.44

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-08.7%

2-08.6%

3-18.2%

2-18.2%

4-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna is Hammarby IF to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Hammarby IF to win at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Hammarby IF to score 3.0 goals and IF Brommapojkarna 0.9.

Will both teams score in Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Hammarby IF last 20 games and 15 of IF Brommapojkarna last 20.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

How are IF Brommapojkarna playing?

What happened when Hammarby IF and IF Brommapojkarna last met?

It ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Hammarby IF 1. In the last 1 meeting Hammarby IF won 0 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0.

What is the best bet for Hammarby IF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Hammarby IF to win at 1.22, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hammarby against Brommapojkar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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