EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Sweden › Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius
AllsvenskanThu 29 Oct, 17:30 Sweden time

Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius prediction

Tele2 Arena

Hammarby IFHome
1.81 : 1.14
expected goals
IK SiriusAway
52%Hammarby
24%Draw
23%Sirius
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Hammarby IF to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hammarby IF 1.8, IK Sirius 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hammarby IF 52%, the draw 24% and IK Sirius 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hammarby IF took 10 points from their last 5 games and IK Sirius took 13 from 5. IK Sirius come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hammarby IF won 7 of their last 9 games at home. IK Sirius won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hammarby IF score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. IK Sirius score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Hammarby IF games and 14 of IK Sirius games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Hammarby IF won 0 and IK Sirius won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Sirius 2, Hammarby IF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hammarbyrecent form+1%
  • Siriusrecent form+6%
  • Hammarbyrest between games-5%
  • Siriusrest between games-5%
Hammarby form D L W W DSirius form D W W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius: Hammarby IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hammarby IF host IK Sirius in the Allsvenskan on Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Hammarby IF form

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Hammarby IF won 0, IK Sirius won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Sirius 2, Hammarby IF 0.

Our call

We expect Hammarby IF to score about 1.8 goals and IK Sirius about 1.1. That points to Hammarby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HammarbySirius
Games played2020
Wins1213
Draws34
Losses53
Goals scored3843
Goals conceded1727
Scored per game1.92.1
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record7W 0D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record5W 3D 3L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.93
Both teams to score58%1.74
Hammarby IF or Draw77%1.31
IK Sirius or Draw48%2.09
Hammarby IF to win and Over 2.535%2.87
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.515%6.84
Hammarby IF clean sheet32%3.14
IK Sirius clean sheet16%6.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.8%
1-08.8%
2-08.5%
1-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius?

Our prediction for Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius is Hammarby IF to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Hammarby IF to score 1.8 goals and IK Sirius 1.1.

Will both teams score in Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Hammarby IF last 20 games and 12 of IK Sirius last 20.

How are Hammarby IF playing?

Hammarby IF have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Hammarby IF and IK Sirius last met?

It ended IK Sirius 2, Hammarby IF 0. In the last 1 meeting Hammarby IF won 0 and IK Sirius won 1.

What is the best bet for Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hammarby against Sirius. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.