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Predictions › Germany › Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. BundesligaSat 21 Nov, 12:00 Germany time

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction

HDI Arena

Hannover 96Home
1.96 : 1.21
expected goals
SpVgg Greuther FürthAway
54%Hannover
23%Draw
23%Greuther Furth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Hannover 96 to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Hannover 96 to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hannover 96 2.0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hannover 96 54%, the draw 23% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Hannover 96 the favourite at 1.69.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hannover 96 took 5 points from their last 5 games and SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 6 from 5. SpVgg Greuther Fürth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hannover 96 won 3 of their last 10 games at home. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hannover 96 score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hannover 96 games and 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hannover 96 won 0 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Hannover 96 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hannoverrecent form-1%
  • Greuther Furthrecent form-1%
Hannover form D W L L DGreuther Furth form L W L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Hannover 96 are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hannover 96 host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 12:00 at HDI Arena. Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Hannover 96 to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Hannover 96 form

Hannover 96 have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hannover 96 won 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Hannover 96 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.

Our call

We expect Hannover 96 to score about 2.0 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth about 1.2. That points to Hannover 96 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5 at 2.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HannoverGreuther Furth
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws95
Losses59
Goals scored2925
Goals conceded3031
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record3W 6D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Hannover 96 to win50%2.011.69-16.0%
A Draw22%4.464.10-8.2%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win22%4.564.10-10.1%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.492.15-13.7%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.891.59-16.0%
Hannover 96 -0.550%1.981.63-17.9%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +0.543%2.352.05-12.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.56
Both teams to score61%1.64
Hannover 96 or Draw77%1.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw46%2.19
Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.539%2.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.515%6.64
Hannover 96 clean sheet30%3.34
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet14%7.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.8%
2-08.1%
1-07.7%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Hannover 96 to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Hannover 96 to score 2.0 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2.

Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Hannover 96 last 20 games and 11 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20.

How are Hannover 96 playing?

Hannover 96 have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth last met?

It ended Hannover 96 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. In the last 2 meetings Hannover 96 won 0 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1.

What is the best bet for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hannover against Greuther Furth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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