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Predictions › Germany › Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli
2. BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 18:30 Germany time

Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli prediction

HDI Arena

Hannover 96Home
1.71 : 1.38
expected goals
St. PauliAway
45%Hannover
25%Draw
30%St. Pauli
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli is Hannover 96 to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Hannover 96 to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hannover 96 1.7, St. Pauli 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hannover 96 45%, the draw 25% and St. Pauli 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hannover 96 took 7 points from their last 5 games and St. Pauli took 6 from 5. Hannover 96 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hannover 96 won 3 of their last 11 games at home. St. Pauli won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hannover 96 score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. St. Pauli score 0.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hannover 96 games and 11 of St. Pauli games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hannoverrecent form+3%
  • St. Paulirecent form-1%
Hannover form W L D W WSt. Pauli form D W D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli: Hannover 96 shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hannover 96 host St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 at HDI Arena. Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli is Hannover 96 to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Hannover 96 form

Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

St. Pauli form

St. Pauli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hannover 96 to score about 1.7 goals and St. Pauli about 1.4. That points to Hannover 96 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HannoverSt. Pauli
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws87
Losses49
Goals scored3219
Goals conceded2634
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record3W 6D 2L3W 3D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69
Both teams to score62%1.62
Hannover 96 or Draw70%1.44
St. Pauli or Draw55%1.81
Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.531%3.24
St. Pauli to win and Over 2.520%4.89
Hannover 96 clean sheet25%3.97
St. Pauli clean sheet18%5.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.2%
1-27.4%
1-07.2%
2-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli?

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli is Hannover 96 to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Hannover 96 to score 1.7 goals and St. Pauli 1.4.

Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Hannover 96 last 20 games and 13 of St. Pauli last 20.

How are Hannover 96 playing?

Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are St. Pauli playing?

St. Pauli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hannover against St. Pauli. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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