PredictionsGermanyHannover 96 vs VfL Bochum
2. BundesligaSun 20 Sept, 11:30 Germany time

Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum prediction

HDI Arena

Hannover 96Home
1.15 : 1.29
expected goals
VfL BochumAway
32%Hannover
29%Draw
39%Bochum
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum is VfL Bochum to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
VfL Bochum to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hannover 96 1.1, VfL Bochum 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hannover 96 32%, the draw 29% and VfL Bochum 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hannover 96 took 4 points from their last 5 games and VfL Bochum took 7 from 5. VfL Bochum come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hannover 96 won 2 of their last 10 games at home. VfL Bochum won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hannover 96 score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. VfL Bochum score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Hannover 96 games and 8 of VfL Bochum games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hannover 96 won 0 and VfL Bochum won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended VfL Bochum 1, Hannover 96 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bochumrecent form+3%
  • Hannoverrest between games-5%
  • Bochumrest between games-5%
Hannover form L D W W LBochum form D W L W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum shade it

The big picture

Hannover 96 host VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sept, 11:30 at HDI Arena. Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum is VfL Bochum to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Hannover 96 form

Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

VfL Bochum form

VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hannover 96 won 0, VfL Bochum won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished VfL Bochum 1, Hannover 96 1.

Our call

We expect Hannover 96 to score about 1.1 goals and VfL Bochum about 1.3. That points to VfL Bochum to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HannoverBochum
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws87
Losses46
Goals scored3226
Goals conceded2625
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.31.3
Home record2W 6D 2L4W 4D 3L
Away record6W 2D 2L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.26
Over 3.5 goals23%4.33
Both teams to score50%1.98
Hannover 96 or Draw61%1.64
VfL Bochum or Draw68%1.47
Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.517%5.81
VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.521%4.69
Hannover 96 clean sheet27%3.65
VfL Bochum clean sheet32%3.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
0-110.4%
0-09.4%
1-09.2%
1-28.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum?

Our prediction for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum is VfL Bochum to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Hannover 96 to score 1.1 goals and VfL Bochum 1.3.

Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Hannover 96 last 20 games and 14 of VfL Bochum last 20.

How are Hannover 96 playing?

Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are VfL Bochum playing?

VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Hannover 96 and VfL Bochum last met?

It ended VfL Bochum 1, Hannover 96 1. In the last 2 meetings Hannover 96 won 0 and VfL Bochum won 0.

What is the best bet for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hannover against Bochum. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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