Predictions › United Kingdom › Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde prediction

EnviroVent Stadium

Harrogate TownHome
1.97 : 1.34
expected goals
AFC FyldeAway
52%Harrogate
23%Draw
25%AFC Fylde
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde is Harrogate Town to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Harrogate Town to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Harrogate Town 2.0, AFC Fylde 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Harrogate Town to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Harrogate Town 52%, the draw 23% and AFC Fylde 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Harrogaterecent form+4%
  • Harrogaterest between games-3%
Harrogate form D W D W WAFC Fylde form D L W W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: Harrogate Town are favourites

The big picture

Harrogate Town host AFC Fylde in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at EnviroVent Stadium. Our prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde is Harrogate Town to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Harrogate Town form

Harrogate Town have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

AFC Fylde form

AFC Fylde have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Harrogate Town to score about 2.0 goals and AFC Fylde about 1.3. That points to Harrogate Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Harrogate Town to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 1 games in all competitions.

HarrogateAFC Fylde
Games played1n/a
Wins0n/a
Draws0n/a
Losses1n/a
Goals scored2n/a
Goals conceded3n/a
Scored per game2.0n/a
Conceded per game3.0n/a
Home recordn/an/a
Away record0W 0D 1Ln/a
Clean sheets0%n/a
Both teams scored100%n/a
Over 2.5 goals100%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%11/8
Both teams to score64%4/7
Harrogate Town or Draw75%1/3
AFC Fylde or Draw48%21/20
Harrogate Town to win and Over 2.538%13/8
AFC Fylde to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Harrogate Town clean sheet26%11/4
AFC Fylde clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%
1-06.6%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Our prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde is Harrogate Town to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Harrogate Town to score 2.0 goals and AFC Fylde 1.3.

Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance.

How are Harrogate Town playing?

Harrogate Town have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Harrogate against AFC Fylde. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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