Predictions › United Kingdom › Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers
Scottish PremiershipWed 28 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers prediction

Tynecastle Park

Heart of MidlothianHome
1.56 : 0.96
expected goals
RangersAway
51%Hearts
27%Draw
23%Rangers
Eagle safe pickHeart of Midlothian or Draw
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers is Heart of Midlothian to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction
Heart of Midlothian to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Heart of Midlothian 1.6, Rangers 1.0
Best bet
Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Heart of Midlothian or Draw
77% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Heart of Midlothian to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Heart of Midlothian 51%, the draw 27% and Rangers 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Heart of Midlothian took 5 points from their last 5 games and Rangers took 13 from 5. Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Heart of Midlothian won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Rangers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Heart of Midlothian score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Rangers score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Heart of Midlothian games and 14 of Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Heart of Midlothian won 3 and Rangers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Heart of Midlothian 2, Rangers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Heart of Midlothian or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rangersrecent form+6%
  • Heartsrest between games-5%
  • Rangersrest between games-5%
Hearts form D D W D LRangers form D W W W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers: Heart of Midlothian are favourites

The big picture

Heart of Midlothian host Rangers in the Scottish Premiership on Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 at Tynecastle Park. Our prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers is Heart of Midlothian to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7.

Heart of Midlothian form

Heart of Midlothian have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Rangers form

Rangers have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Heart of Midlothian won 3, Rangers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Heart of Midlothian 2, Rangers 1.

Our call

We expect Heart of Midlothian to score about 1.6 goals and Rangers about 1.0. That points to Heart of Midlothian to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Heart of Midlothian to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HeartsRangers
Games played2020
Wins1111
Draws44
Losses55
Goals scored3742
Goals conceded2629
Scored per game1.92.1
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record9W 1D 0L5W 1D 3L
Away record2W 3D 5L6W 3D 2L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%4/11
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score50%Evens
Heart of Midlothian or Draw77%2/7
Rangers or Draw49%Evens
Heart of Midlothian to win and Over 2.529%12/5
Rangers to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet38%13/8
Rangers clean sheet21%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-011.8%
2-09.8%
2-19.4%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Our prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers is Heart of Midlothian to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Heart of Midlothian to score 1.6 goals and Rangers 1.0.

Will both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Heart of Midlothian last 20 games and 15 of Rangers last 20.

How are Heart of Midlothian playing?

Heart of Midlothian have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Rangers playing?

Rangers have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Heart of Midlothian and Rangers last met?

It ended Heart of Midlothian 2, Rangers 1. In the last 4 meetings Heart of Midlothian won 3 and Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Heart of Midlothian or Draw at 2/7, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hearts against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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