Predictions › Netherlands › Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam

EredivisieSun 8 Nov, 11:15 Netherlands time

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction

Abe Lenstra Stadion

HeerenveenHome

1.37 : 1.73

expected goals

Feyenoord RotterdamAway

30%Heerenveen

25%Draw

45%Feyenoord

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.4, Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Heerenveen 30%, the draw 25% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Heerenveen took 10 points from their last 5 games and Feyenoord Rotterdam took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Heerenveen won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Feyenoord Rotterdam won 7 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Heerenveen score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Feyenoord Rotterdam score 2.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Heerenveen games and 11 of Feyenoord Rotterdam games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Heerenveen won 0 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Heerenveen 2, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Heerenveenrecent form+3%
Feyenoordrecent form+3%

Heerenveen form D W W L WFeyenoord form D L W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Heerenveen host Feyenoord Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sun 8 Nov, 11:15 at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Heerenveen form

Heerenveen have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Feyenoord Rotterdam form

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Heerenveen won 0, Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Heerenveen 2, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.

Our call

We expect Heerenveen to score about 1.4 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam about 1.7. That points to Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Heerenveen	Feyenoord
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	11
Draws	5	7
Losses	6	2
Goals scored	35	46
Goals conceded	26	24
Scored per game	1.8	2.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.2
Home record	5W 2D 2L	4W 4D 0L
Away record	4W 3D 4L	7W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	35%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.68
Both teams to score	62%	1.62
Heerenveen or Draw	55%	1.83
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw	70%	1.43
Heerenveen to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.99
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5	31%	3.18
Heerenveen clean sheet	18%	5.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet	26%	3.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%

1-29.2%

2-17.3%

0-17.2%

0-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Heerenveen to score 1.4 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.7.

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Heerenveen last 20 games and 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam last 20.

How are Heerenveen playing?

How are Feyenoord Rotterdam playing?

What happened when Heerenveen and Feyenoord Rotterdam last met?

It ended Heerenveen 2, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2. In the last 2 meetings Heerenveen won 0 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1.

What is the best bet for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Heerenveen against Feyenoord. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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