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Predictions › Italy › Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro
Serie BFri 16 Oct, 18:30 Italy time

Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro prediction

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas VeronaHome
2.02 : 1.18
expected goals
CatanzaroAway
56%Verona
23%Draw
21%Catanzaro
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro is Hellas Verona to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Hellas Verona to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hellas Verona 2.0, Catanzaro 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hellas Verona 56%, the draw 23% and Catanzaro 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hellas Verona took 7 points from their last 5 games and Catanzaro took 3 from 5. Hellas Verona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hellas Verona won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Catanzaro won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hellas Verona score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Catanzaro score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Hellas Verona games and 12 of Catanzaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Veronarecent form+3%
  • Catanzarorecent form-4%
Verona form W L W W DCatanzaro form L W L L LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro: Hellas Verona are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hellas Verona host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Fri 16 Oct, 18:30 at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro is Hellas Verona to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Hellas Verona form

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Catanzaro form

Catanzaro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hellas Verona to score about 2.0 goals and Catanzaro about 1.2. That points to Hellas Verona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5 at 2.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VeronaCatanzaro
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws55
Losses129
Goals scored1731
Goals conceded2732
Scored per game0.81.6
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record2W 2D 7L5W 2D 2L
Away record1W 3D 5L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.52
Both teams to score61%1.65
Hellas Verona or Draw79%1.27
Catanzaro or Draw44%2.28
Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.540%2.49
Catanzaro to win and Over 2.514%7.01
Hellas Verona clean sheet31%3.26
Catanzaro clean sheet13%7.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%
1-07.7%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro is Hellas Verona to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Hellas Verona to score 2.0 goals and Catanzaro 1.2.

Will both teams score in Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Hellas Verona last 20 games and 13 of Catanzaro last 20.

How are Hellas Verona playing?

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Catanzaro playing?

Catanzaro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Verona against Catanzaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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