EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Italy › Hellas Verona vs Pisa
Serie BSun 25 Oct, 16:15 Italy time

Hellas Verona vs Pisa prediction

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas VeronaHome
1.60 : 1.50
expected goals
PisaAway
40%Verona
25%Draw
35%Pisa
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Pisa is Hellas Verona to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Hellas Verona to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hellas Verona 1.6, Pisa 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hellas Verona 40%, the draw 25% and Pisa 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hellas Verona took 7 points from their last 5 games and Pisa took 10 from 5. Pisa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hellas Verona won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Pisa won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hellas Verona score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Pisa score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Hellas Verona games and 15 of Pisa games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hellas Verona won 0 and Pisa won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Hellas Verona 0, Pisa 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Veronarecent form+3%
  • Pisarecent form-1%
Verona form D W L W WPisa form D D L L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hellas Verona vs Pisa: Hellas Verona shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hellas Verona host Pisa in the Serie B on Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Pisa is Hellas Verona to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Hellas Verona form

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Pisa form

Pisa have 4 wins, 1 draw and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hellas Verona won 0, Pisa won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hellas Verona 0, Pisa 0.

Our call

We expect Hellas Verona to score about 1.6 goals and Pisa about 1.5. That points to Hellas Verona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5 at 3.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VeronaPisa
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws41
Losses1315
Goals scored1918
Goals conceded3039
Scored per game0.90.9
Conceded per game1.51.9
Home record2W 1D 7L2W 0D 8L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.65
Both teams to score63%1.59
Hellas Verona or Draw65%1.55
Pisa or Draw60%1.66
Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.527%3.65
Pisa to win and Over 2.524%4.13
Hellas Verona clean sheet22%4.50
Pisa clean sheet20%4.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%
1-06.5%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hellas Verona vs Pisa?

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Pisa is Hellas Verona to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Hellas Verona vs Pisa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Hellas Verona to score 1.6 goals and Pisa 1.5.

Will both teams score in Hellas Verona vs Pisa?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hellas Verona last 20 games and 8 of Pisa last 20.

How are Hellas Verona playing?

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Pisa playing?

Pisa have 4 wins, 1 draw and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Hellas Verona and Pisa last met?

It ended Hellas Verona 0, Pisa 0. In the last 2 meetings Hellas Verona won 0 and Pisa won 0.

What is the best bet for Hellas Verona vs Pisa?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Verona against Pisa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.