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Predictions › Italy › Hellas Verona vs Vicenza
Serie BSun 20 Sept, 13:00 Italy time

Hellas Verona vs Vicenza prediction

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas VeronaHome
1.85 : 0.99
expected goals
VicenzaAway
57%Verona
24%Draw
19%Vicenza
Eagle safe pickHellas Verona or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza is Hellas Verona to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Hellas Verona to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hellas Verona 1.9, Vicenza 1.0
Best bet
Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hellas Verona or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hellas Verona 57%, the draw 24% and Vicenza 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hellas Verona took 4 points from their last 5 games and Vicenza took 5 from 4. Vicenza come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Hellas Verona score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Vicenza score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Hellas Verona games and 3 of Vicenza games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Hellas Verona or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vicenzarecent form-1%
  • Veronarest between games-5%
  • Vicenzarest between games-5%
Verona form L W W D LVicenza form D D L W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hellas Verona vs Vicenza: Hellas Verona are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hellas Verona host Vicenza in the Serie B on Sun 20 Sept, 13:00 at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza is Hellas Verona to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22.

Hellas Verona form

Hellas Verona have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Vicenza form

Vicenza have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hellas Verona to score about 1.9 goals and Vicenza about 1.0. That points to Hellas Verona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.5 at 2.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VeronaVicenza
Games played204
Wins21
Draws52
Losses131
Goals scored156
Goals conceded308
Scored per game0.81.5
Conceded per game1.52.0
Home record1W 2D 7L1W 1D 0L
Away record1W 3D 6L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored45%75%
Over 2.5 goals45%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score53%1.87
Hellas Verona or Draw81%1.24
Vicenza or Draw43%2.32
Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.537%2.73
Vicenza to win and Over 2.511%8.92
Hellas Verona clean sheet37%2.68
Vicenza clean sheet16%6.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-010.2%
2-010.0%
2-19.9%
0-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hellas Verona vs Vicenza?

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza is Hellas Verona to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Hellas Verona to score 1.9 goals and Vicenza 1.0.

Will both teams score in Hellas Verona vs Vicenza?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Hellas Verona last 20 games and 3 of Vicenza last 4.

How are Hellas Verona playing?

Hellas Verona have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Vicenza playing?

Vicenza have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read D, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza?

Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Verona against Vicenza. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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