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Predictions › Germany › Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
2. BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction

Olympic Stadium Berlin

Hertha BerlinHome
1.89 : 0.91
expected goals
Arminia BielefeldAway
60%Hertha
23%Draw
17%Bielefeld
Eagle safe pickHertha Berlin or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Hertha Berlin to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hertha Berlin 1.9, Arminia Bielefeld 0.9
Best bet
Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hertha Berlin or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hertha Berlin 60%, the draw 23% and Arminia Bielefeld 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hertha Berlin took 15 points from their last 5 games and Arminia Bielefeld took 5 from 5. Hertha Berlin come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hertha Berlin won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Arminia Bielefeld won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hertha Berlin score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Arminia Bielefeld score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Hertha Berlin games and 13 of Arminia Bielefeld games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Hertha Berlin won 0 and Arminia Bielefeld won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Arminia Bielefeld 6, Hertha Berlin 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hertha Berlin or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hertharecent form+6%
  • Bielefeldrecent form-3%
Hertha form D W W W WBielefeld form D D L D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld: Hertha Berlin are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hertha Berlin host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 at Olympic Stadium Berlin. Our prediction for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23.

Hertha Berlin form

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Arminia Bielefeld form

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Hertha Berlin won 0, Arminia Bielefeld won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Arminia Bielefeld 6, Hertha Berlin 1.

Our call

We expect Hertha Berlin to score about 1.9 goals and Arminia Bielefeld about 0.9. That points to Hertha Berlin to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5 at 2.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HerthaBielefeld
Games played2020
Wins126
Draws25
Losses69
Goals scored3831
Goals conceded3233
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record5W 1D 3L3W 5D 1L
Away record7W 1D 3L3W 0D 8L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.26
Both teams to score51%1.95
Hertha Berlin or Draw83%1.20
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw40%2.49
Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.538%2.63
Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.59%10.54
Hertha Berlin clean sheet40%2.47
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet15%6.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-010.9%
2-010.9%
2-19.9%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our prediction for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Hertha Berlin to score 1.9 goals and Arminia Bielefeld 0.9.

Will both teams score in Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Hertha Berlin last 20 games and 14 of Arminia Bielefeld last 20.

How are Hertha Berlin playing?

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arminia Bielefeld playing?

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Hertha Berlin and Arminia Bielefeld last met?

It ended Arminia Bielefeld 6, Hertha Berlin 1. In the last 2 meetings Hertha Berlin won 0 and Arminia Bielefeld won 1.

What is the best bet for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hertha against Bielefeld. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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