Predictions › Germany › Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 12:00 Germany time

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein KielHome

1.54 : 0.92

expected goals

Arminia BielefeldAway

51%Holstein Kiel

27%Draw

22%Bielefeld

Eagle safe pickHolstein Kiel or Draw

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction: Holstein Kiel to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Holstein Kiel 1.5, Arminia Bielefeld 0.9
Best bet: Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Holstein Kiel or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Holstein Kiel 51%, the draw 27% and Arminia Bielefeld 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Holstein Kiel took 5 points from their last 5 games and Arminia Bielefeld took 7 from 5. Arminia Bielefeld come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Holstein Kiel won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Arminia Bielefeld won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Holstein Kiel score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Arminia Bielefeld score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Holstein Kiel games and 13 of Arminia Bielefeld games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Holstein Kiel won 0 and Arminia Bielefeld won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Arminia Bielefeld 2, Holstein Kiel 2.
6
The safest bet
Holstein Kiel or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Holstein Kielrecent form-3%
Bielefeldrecent form+1%

Holstein Kiel form D D L D LBielefeld form D W W D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: Holstein Kiel are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Holstein Kiel host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 at Holstein-Stadion. Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27.

Holstein Kiel form

Holstein Kiel have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Arminia Bielefeld form

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Holstein Kiel won 0, Arminia Bielefeld won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Arminia Bielefeld 2, Holstein Kiel 2.

Our call

We expect Holstein Kiel to score about 1.5 goals and Arminia Bielefeld about 0.9. That points to Holstein Kiel to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.5 at 3.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Holstein Kiel	Bielefeld
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	26	30
Goals conceded	25	33
Scored per game	1.3	1.5
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	3W 6D 2L	4W 5D 1L
Away record	3W 1D 5L	2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.25
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.29
Both teams to score	48%	2.09
Holstein Kiel or Draw	78%	1.28
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw	49%	2.04
Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.52
Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.02
Holstein Kiel clean sheet	40%	2.51
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet	22%	4.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

1-012.4%

2-010.1%

2-19.3%

0-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Holstein Kiel to score 1.5 goals and Arminia Bielefeld 0.9.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Holstein Kiel last 20 games and 14 of Arminia Bielefeld last 20.

How are Holstein Kiel playing?

How are Arminia Bielefeld playing?

What happened when Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld last met?

It ended Arminia Bielefeld 2, Holstein Kiel 2. In the last 1 meeting Holstein Kiel won 0 and Arminia Bielefeld won 0.

What is the best bet for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Holstein Kiel against Bielefeld. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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