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Predictions › Germany › Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden
2. BundesligaSun 25 Oct, 12:30 Germany time

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein KielHome
1.82 : 1.30
expected goals
Dynamo DresdenAway
49%Holstein Kiel
24%Draw
27%D Dresden
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Holstein Kiel to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Holstein Kiel 1.8, Dynamo Dresden 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Holstein Kiel 49%, the draw 24% and Dynamo Dresden 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Holstein Kiel took 2 points from their last 5 games and Dynamo Dresden took 2 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Holstein Kiel won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Dynamo Dresden won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Holstein Kiel score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Dynamo Dresden score 1.6 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Holstein Kiel games and 13 of Dynamo Dresden games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1 and Dynamo Dresden won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dynamo Dresden 2, Holstein Kiel 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Holstein Kielrecent form-3%
  • D Dresdenrecent form-4%
Holstein Kiel form D D L D LD Dresden form D L D L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: Holstein Kiel are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Holstein Kiel host Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 at Holstein-Stadion. Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Holstein Kiel form

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Dynamo Dresden form

Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Holstein Kiel won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dynamo Dresden 2, Holstein Kiel 1.

Our call

We expect Holstein Kiel to score about 1.8 goals and Dynamo Dresden about 1.3. That points to Holstein Kiel to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Holstein KielD Dresden
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws64
Losses99
Goals scored2532
Goals conceded3030
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.51.5
Home record2W 5D 3L6W 0D 4L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.64
Both teams to score62%1.63
Holstein Kiel or Draw73%1.36
Dynamo Dresden or Draw51%1.96
Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.534%2.91
Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.518%5.59
Holstein Kiel clean sheet27%3.66
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet16%6.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-19.5%
1-07.4%
2-07.3%
1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Holstein Kiel to score 1.8 goals and Dynamo Dresden 1.3.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Holstein Kiel last 20 games and 12 of Dynamo Dresden last 20.

How are Holstein Kiel playing?

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Dynamo Dresden playing?

Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden last met?

It ended Dynamo Dresden 2, Holstein Kiel 1. In the last 2 meetings Holstein Kiel won 1 and Dynamo Dresden won 1.

What is the best bet for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Holstein Kiel against D Dresden. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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