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Predictions › Germany › Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin
2. BundesligaFri 16 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin prediction

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein KielHome
1.39 : 1.99
expected goals
Hertha BerlinAway
26%Holstein Kiel
23%Draw
51%Hertha
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Hertha Berlin to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Holstein Kiel 1.4, Hertha Berlin 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Holstein Kiel 26%, the draw 23% and Hertha Berlin 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Holstein Kiel took 3 points from their last 5 games and Hertha Berlin took 15 from 5. Hertha Berlin come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Holstein Kiel won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Hertha Berlin won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Holstein Kiel score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Hertha Berlin score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Holstein Kiel games and 13 of Hertha Berlin games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1 and Hertha Berlin won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hertha Berlin 0, Holstein Kiel 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Holstein Kielrecent form-1%
  • Hertharecent form+7%
Holstein Kiel form D L D L WHertha form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin: Hertha Berlin are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Holstein Kiel host Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 16 Oct, 16:30 at Holstein-Stadion. Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Holstein Kiel form

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Hertha Berlin form

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Holstein Kiel won 1, Hertha Berlin won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hertha Berlin 0, Holstein Kiel 1.

Our call

We expect Holstein Kiel to score about 1.4 goals and Hertha Berlin about 2.0. That points to Hertha Berlin to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5 at 2.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Holstein KielHertha
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws62
Losses96
Goals scored2639
Goals conceded3231
Scored per game1.31.9
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record2W 5D 3L4W 1D 3L
Away record3W 1D 6L8W 1D 3L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.29
Both teams to score65%1.53
Holstein Kiel or Draw49%2.04
Hertha Berlin or Draw74%1.36
Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.519%5.33
Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.538%2.64
Holstein Kiel clean sheet14%7.30
Hertha Berlin clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
1-29.4%
0-26.7%
2-16.5%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Holstein Kiel to score 1.4 goals and Hertha Berlin 2.0.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Holstein Kiel last 20 games and 14 of Hertha Berlin last 20.

How are Holstein Kiel playing?

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Hertha Berlin playing?

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Holstein Kiel and Hertha Berlin last met?

It ended Hertha Berlin 0, Holstein Kiel 1. In the last 2 meetings Holstein Kiel won 1 and Hertha Berlin won 1.

What is the best bet for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Holstein Kiel against Hertha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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