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Predictions › United States › Houston Astros vs Athletics
MLBFri 25 Sept, 21:40 United States time

Houston Astros vs Athletics prediction

Sutter Health Park

Houston AstrosAway
6.5 : 5.1
projected runs
AthleticsHome
67%Astros
33%Athletics
Eagle safe pickAthletics +3.5
-246

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Athletics is Houston Astros to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Astros 6.5 and Athletics 5.1. Our best bet is Athletics +3.5 at -246.

Prediction
Houston Astros to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Houston Astros 6, Athletics 5
Projected total
11.6 runs
Best bet
Athletics +3.5 at -246

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Athletics +3.5
71% chanceFair price -2461 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Athletics to win
33% chanceFair price +2001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Athletics 33% and Houston Astros 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Athletics won 3 of their last 5 and Houston Astros won 1 of their last 5. Athletics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Athletics won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Houston Astros won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Athletics score 4.8 runs a game and let in 5.5. Houston Astros score 4.0 and let in 4.5. Their recent games average 10.3 and 8.4 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Athletics won 3 and Houston Astros won 2. The last one ended Houston Astros 6, Athletics 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Athletics +3.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Athleticsrest between games-2%
  • Astrosrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Astros vs Athletics: Houston Astros are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Athletics host Houston Astros in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 21:40 at Sutter Health Park. Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Athletics is Houston Astros to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Astros 6.5 and Athletics 5.1. Our best bet is Athletics +3.5 at -246.

Athletics form

Athletics have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 110 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Houston Astros form

Houston Astros have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 79 runs scored and 89 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Athletics won 3, Houston Astros won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Astros 6, Athletics 7.

Our call

We expect Houston Astros to score about 6.5 runs and Athletics about 5.1. That points to Houston Astros to win. Our safest bet is Athletics +3.5 at -246. Our bold bet is Athletics to win at +200.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AthleticsAstros
Games played2020
Wins1110
Losses910
Runs scored9579
Runs conceded11089
Scored per game4.84.0
Conceded per game5.54.5
Home record6W 6L4W 4L
Away record5W 3L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Athletics spreadCoversFair
Athletics -0.533%+204
Athletics +0.542%+138
Athletics +1.551%-106
Athletics +2.561%-155
Athletics +3.570%-228
Total runsOverUnder
9.568%32%
10.560%40%
11.551%49%
12.542%58%
13.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Athletics +3.5 wins if Athletics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Astros vs Athletics?

Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Athletics is Houston Astros to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Astros 6.5 and Athletics 5.1. Our best bet is Athletics +3.5 at -246.

What is the projected score for Houston Astros vs Athletics?

We project Houston Astros 6.5 and Athletics 5.1, about 11.6 runs in total.

How are Athletics playing?

Athletics have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 110 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Houston Astros playing?

Houston Astros have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 79 runs scored and 89 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Athletics and Houston Astros last met?

It ended Houston Astros 6, Athletics 7. In the last 5 meetings Athletics won 3 and Houston Astros won 2.

What is the best bet for Houston Astros vs Athletics?

Athletics +3.5 at -246, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Athletics against Astros. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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