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Predictions › United States › Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
MLBTue 22 Sept, 21:40 United States time

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners prediction

T-Mobile Park

Houston AstrosAway
4.5 : 4.0
projected runs
Seattle MarinersHome
57%Astros
43%Mariners
Eagle safe pickMariners +2.5
-227

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners is Houston Astros to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Astros 4.5 and Seattle Mariners 4.0. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -227.

Prediction
Houston Astros to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Houston Astros 5, Seattle Mariners 4
Projected total
8.5 runs
Best bet
Mariners +2.5 at -227

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mariners +2.5
69% chanceFair price -2271 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mariners to win
43% chanceFair price +1311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Mariners 43% and Houston Astros 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Mariners won 3 of their last 5 and Houston Astros won 2 of their last 5. Seattle Mariners come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Mariners won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Houston Astros won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Mariners score 5.0 runs a game and let in 5.5. Houston Astros score 3.9 and let in 4.0. Their recent games average 10.5 and 7.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Seattle Mariners won 3 and Houston Astros won 2. The last one ended Houston Astros 2, Seattle Mariners 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mariners +2.5 has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Marinersrest between games-5%
  • Astrosrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners: Houston Astros shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Mariners host Houston Astros in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 21:40 at T-Mobile Park. Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners is Houston Astros to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Astros 4.5 and Seattle Mariners 4.0. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -227.

Seattle Mariners form

Seattle Mariners have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 99 runs scored and 111 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Houston Astros form

Houston Astros have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 runs scored and 79 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Seattle Mariners won 3, Houston Astros won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Astros 2, Seattle Mariners 3.

Our call

We expect Houston Astros to score about 4.5 runs and Seattle Mariners about 4.0. That points to Houston Astros to win. Our safest bet is Mariners +2.5 at -227. Our bold bet is Mariners to win at +131.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MarinersAstros
Games played2020
Wins910
Losses1110
Runs scored9978
Runs conceded11179
Scored per game5.03.9
Conceded per game5.54.0
Home record6W 6L4W 5L
Away record3W 5L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mariners spreadCoversFair
Mariners -1.532%+213
Mariners -0.541%+145
Mariners +0.550%-101
Mariners +1.560%-148
Mariners +2.569%-218
Total runsOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.559%41%
8.550%50%
9.541%59%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mariners +3.5 wins if Mariners win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners?

Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners is Houston Astros to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Astros 4.5 and Seattle Mariners 4.0. Our best bet is Mariners +2.5 at -227.

What is the projected score for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners?

We project Houston Astros 4.5 and Seattle Mariners 4.0, about 8.5 runs in total.

How are Seattle Mariners playing?

Seattle Mariners have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 99 runs scored and 111 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Houston Astros playing?

Houston Astros have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 runs scored and 79 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros last met?

It ended Houston Astros 2, Seattle Mariners 3. In the last 5 meetings Seattle Mariners won 3 and Houston Astros won 2.

What is the best bet for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners?

Mariners +2.5 at -227, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mariners against Astros. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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