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College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes prediction

Rice-Eccles Stadium

Houston CougarsAway
22.2 : 29.2
projected points
Utah UtesHome
31%Houston
69%Utah
Eagle safe pickUtah to win
-258

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes is Utah Utes to win, with a 69% chance. We project Houston Cougars 22.2 and Utah Utes 29.2. Our best bet is Utah to win at -258.

Prediction
Utah Utes to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Houston Cougars 22, Utah Utes 29
Projected total
51.4 points
Best bet
Utah to win at -258

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Utah to win
69% chancePrice -2581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Utes 69% and Houston Cougars 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Utah Utes the favourite at -258.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Utes won 5 of their last 5 and Houston Cougars won 4 of their last 5. Utah Utes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Utes won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Houston Cougars won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Utes score 40.3 points a game and let in 18.3. Houston Cougars score 32.7 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 58.6 and 56.4 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Utah to win has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes: Utah Utes are favourites

The big picture

Utah Utes host Houston Cougars in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes is Utah Utes to win, with a 69% chance. We project Houston Cougars 22.2 and Utah Utes 29.2. Our best bet is Utah to win at -258.

Utah Utes form

Utah Utes have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 645 points scored and 292 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Houston Cougars form

Houston Cougars have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 556 points scored and 403 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Houston Cougars to score about 22.2 points and Utah Utes about 29.2. That points to Utah Utes to win. Our safest bet is Utah to win at -258.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

UtahHouston
Games played1617
Wins1413
Losses24
Points scored645556
Points conceded292403
Scored per game40.332.7
Conceded per game18.323.7
Home record9W 1L6W 3L
Away record5W 1L7W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Utah to win69%-224-258-4.1%
Houston to win29%+241+210-9.0%
Utah -6.549%+105-108-6.0%
Houston +6.547%+113-112-11.0%
Over 50.5 points50%+102-110-5.3%
Under 50.5 points46%+116-110-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Utah spreadCoversFair
Utah -13.534%+193
Utah -9.544%+129
Utah -6.551%-105
Utah -3.559%-142
Utah +0.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.557%43%
51.550%50%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Utah +3.5 wins if Utah win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes?

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes is Utah Utes to win, with a 69% chance. We project Houston Cougars 22.2 and Utah Utes 29.2. Our best bet is Utah to win at -258.

What is the projected score for Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes?

We project Houston Cougars 22.2 and Utah Utes 29.2, about 51.4 points in total.

How are Utah Utes playing?

Utah Utes have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 645 points scored and 292 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Houston Cougars playing?

Houston Cougars have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 556 points scored and 403 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Houston Cougars vs Utah Utes?

Utah to win at -258, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Utah against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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