Predictions › United States › Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction

Milan Puskar Stadium

Houston CougarsAway
33.8 : 27.0
projected points
West Virginia MountaineersHome
67%Houston
33%West Virginia
Eagle safe pickOver 50.5 points
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 33.8 and West Virginia Mountaineers 27.0. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -302.

Prediction
Houston Cougars to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Houston Cougars 34, West Virginia Mountaineers 27
Projected total
60.9 points
Best bet
Over 50.5 points at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 50.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Virginia to win
33% chanceFair price +2061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Virginia Mountaineers 33% and Houston Cougars 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Virginia Mountaineers won 2 of their last 5 and Houston Cougars won 4 of their last 5. Houston Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Virginia Mountaineers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Houston Cougars won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    West Virginia Mountaineers score 28.5 points a game and let in 34.8. Houston Cougars score 31.8 and let in 24.0. Their recent games average 63.3 and 55.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, West Virginia Mountaineers won 1 and Houston Cougars won 0. The last one ended Houston Cougars 35, West Virginia Mountaineers 45.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 50.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers: Houston Cougars are favourites

The big picture

West Virginia Mountaineers host Houston Cougars in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 at Milan Puskar Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 33.8 and West Virginia Mountaineers 27.0. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -302.

West Virginia Mountaineers form

West Virginia Mountaineers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 661 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Houston Cougars form

Houston Cougars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 635 points scored and 480 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. West Virginia Mountaineers won 1, Houston Cougars won 0. Last time out it finished Houston Cougars 35, West Virginia Mountaineers 45.

Our call

We expect Houston Cougars to score about 33.8 points and West Virginia Mountaineers about 27.0. That points to Houston Cougars to win. Our safest bet is Over 50.5 points at -302. Our bold bet is West Virginia to win at +206.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West VirginiaHouston
Games played1920
Wins815
Losses115
Points scored541635
Points conceded661480
Scored per game28.531.8
Conceded per game34.824.0
Home record5W 5L8W 3L
Away record3W 6L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

West Virginia spreadCoversFair
West Virginia -0.532%+208
West Virginia +3.542%+139
West Virginia +6.549%+103
West Virginia +9.557%-131
West Virginia +13.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
53.568%32%
57.558%42%
60.551%49%
63.543%57%
67.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. West Virginia +3.5 wins if West Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 33.8 and West Virginia Mountaineers 27.0. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -302.

What is the projected score for Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

We project Houston Cougars 33.8 and West Virginia Mountaineers 27.0, about 60.9 points in total.

How are West Virginia Mountaineers playing?

West Virginia Mountaineers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 541 points scored and 661 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Cougars playing?

Houston Cougars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 635 points scored and 480 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when West Virginia Mountaineers and Houston Cougars last met?

It ended Houston Cougars 35, West Virginia Mountaineers 45. In the last 1 meeting West Virginia Mountaineers won 1 and Houston Cougars won 0.

What is the best bet for Houston Cougars vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

Over 50.5 points at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Virginia against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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