Predictions › United States › Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC

MLSSat 24 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo FCHome

1.59 : 1.24

expected goals

Minnesota United FCAway

45%Houston

26%Draw

29%Minnesota

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330.

Prediction: Houston Dynamo FC to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Houston Dynamo FC 1.6, Minnesota United FC 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -330
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price -3302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price +2741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Houston Dynamo FC 45%, the draw 26% and Minnesota United FC 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Houston Dynamo FC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Minnesota United FC took 2 from 5. Houston Dynamo FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Houston Dynamo FC won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Minnesota United FC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Houston Dynamo FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Minnesota United FC score 1.6 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Houston Dynamo FC games and 14 of Minnesota United FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Houston Dynamo FC won 0 and Minnesota United FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Minnesota United FC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Houstonrecent form-3%
Minnesotarecent form-4%
Houstonrest between games-5%
Minnesotarest between games-5%

Houston form D D L D LMinnesota form D D L L LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC: Houston Dynamo FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Dynamo FC host Minnesota United FC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 at Shell Energy Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Houston Dynamo FC won 0, Minnesota United FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Minnesota United FC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 2.

Our call

We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score about 1.6 goals and Minnesota United FC about 1.2. That points to Houston Dynamo FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -330. Our bold bet is Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5 at +274.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Houston	Minnesota
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	2
Draws	7	8
Losses	4	10
Goals scored	27	33
Goals conceded	19	40
Scored per game	1.4	1.6
Conceded per game	0.9	2.0
Home record	5W 3D 1L	0W 6D 5L
Away record	4W 4D 3L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	45%	5%
Both teams scored	40%	85%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	-356
Over 2.5 goals	54%	-116
Over 3.5 goals	31%	+218
Both teams to score	57%	-134
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw	71%	-245
Minnesota United FC or Draw	55%	-122
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5	29%	+248
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.5	18%	+461
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet	29%	+244
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	20%	+391

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

2-19.3%

1-08.7%

2-07.5%

1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC?

What is the score prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score 1.6 goals and Minnesota United FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20 games and 17 of Minnesota United FC last 20.

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

What happened when Houston Dynamo FC and Minnesota United FC last met?

It ended Minnesota United FC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Houston Dynamo FC won 0 and Minnesota United FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Houston against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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