Predictions › United States › Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC

MLSSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction

Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo FCHome

1.21 : 1.10

expected goals

St. Louis CITY SCAway

38%Houston

30%Draw

32%St. Louis

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

-398

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -398.

Prediction: Houston Dynamo FC to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Houston Dynamo FC 1.2, St. Louis CITY SC 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at -398
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price -3982 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price +6141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Houston Dynamo FC 38%, the draw 30% and St. Louis CITY SC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Houston Dynamo FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and St. Louis CITY SC took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Houston Dynamo FC won 4 of their last 10 games at home. St. Louis CITY SC won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Houston Dynamo FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.0. St. Louis CITY SC score 2.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Houston Dynamo FC games and 15 of St. Louis CITY SC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Houston Dynamo FC won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended St. Louis CITY SC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Houstonrecent form-1%
St. Louisrecent form-1%
St. Louisrest between games-5%

Houston form D D D D LSt. Louis form D L W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC: Houston Dynamo FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Dynamo FC host St. Louis CITY SC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Shell Energy Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC is Houston Dynamo FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -398.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Houston Dynamo FC won 0, St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished St. Louis CITY SC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 1.

Our call

We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score about 1.2 goals and St. Louis CITY SC about 1.1. That points to Houston Dynamo FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -398. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +614.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Houston	St. Louis
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	11
Draws	9	6
Losses	4	3
Goals scored	24	46
Goals conceded	20	28
Scored per game	1.2	2.3
Conceded per game	1.0	1.4
Home record	4W 5D 1L	7W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	45%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	68%	-212
Over 2.5 goals	41%	+146
Over 3.5 goals	20%	+393
Both teams to score	48%	+110
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw	68%	-210
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw	62%	-164
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5	19%	+416
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5	16%	+518
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet	33%	+200
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet	30%	+236

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%

1-011.2%

0-010.7%

0-110.1%

2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

MLS

St. Louis City SC Wins First Trophy in Penalty Shootout Over Columbus

St. Louis City SC captured their first trophy on Wednesday, beating Columbus Crew in a penalty shootout to claim the U.S. Open Cup.

22 Oct 2026

MLS

Roman Burki Taken to Hospital After Head Injury in Open Cup Final

St. Louis goalkeeper Roman Burki went to the hospital after a head collision during Wednesday night's match against Columbus Crew.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

What is the score prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Houston Dynamo FC to score 1.2 goals and St. Louis CITY SC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20 games and 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20.

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

What happened when Houston Dynamo FC and St. Louis CITY SC last met?

It ended St. Louis CITY SC 2, Houston Dynamo FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Houston Dynamo FC won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 1.

What is the best bet for Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Under 3.5 goals at -398, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Houston against St. Louis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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