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Predictions › United States › Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
NBASat 24 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

State Farm Arena

Houston RocketsAway
116.0 : 113.6
projected points
Atlanta HawksHome
58%Rockets
42%Hawks
Eagle safe pickHawks +10.5
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 116.0 and Atlanta Hawks 113.6. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -291.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 116, Atlanta Hawks 114
Projected total
229.6 points
Best bet
Hawks +10.5 at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +10.5
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
42% chanceFair price +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Hawks 42% and Houston Rockets 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Hawks won 3 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Hawks won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Houston Rockets won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Hawks score 114.0 points a game and let in 115.9. Houston Rockets score 115.5 and let in 109.1. Their recent games average 229.9 and 224.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Atlanta Hawks won 0 and Houston Rockets won 4. The last one ended Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +10.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hawksrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks: Houston Rockets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta Hawks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 at State Farm Arena. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 116.0 and Atlanta Hawks 113.6. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -291.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2182 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Atlanta Hawks won 0, Houston Rockets won 4. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95.

Our call

We expect Houston Rockets to score about 116.0 points and Atlanta Hawks about 113.6. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +10.5 at -291. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +136.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HawksRockets
Games played2020
Wins1112
Losses98
Points scored22802310
Points conceded23182182
Scored per game114.0115.5
Conceded per game115.9109.1
Home record5W 4L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawks spreadCoversFair
Hawks -3.532%+216
Hawks -0.541%+146
Hawks +2.550%-100
Hawks +5.560%-148
Hawks +8.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
223.563%37%
226.557%43%
229.550%50%
232.544%56%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawks +3.5 wins if Hawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks?

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 116.0 and Atlanta Hawks 113.6. Our best bet is Hawks +10.5 at -291.

What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks?

We project Houston Rockets 116.0 and Atlanta Hawks 113.6, about 229.6 points in total.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2182 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Hawks and Houston Rockets last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95. In the last 4 meetings Atlanta Hawks won 0 and Houston Rockets won 4.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks?

Hawks +10.5 at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawks against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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