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Predictions › United States › Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
NBAFri 9 Oct, 08:00 United States time

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Venetian Arena

Houston RocketsAway
119.7 : 113.4
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
71%Rockets
29%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickMavericks +14.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Houston Rockets 119.7 and Dallas Mavericks 113.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -302.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 120, Dallas Mavericks 113
Projected total
233.0 points
Best bet
Mavericks +14.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mavericks +14.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mavericks to win
29% chanceFair price +2441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 29% and Houston Rockets 71%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Houston Rockets won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 116.0 points a game and let in 125.9. Houston Rockets score 115.0 and let in 107.5. Their recent games average 241.9 and 222.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 2 and Houston Rockets won 2. The last one ended Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 107.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mavericks +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-3%
  • Rocketsrest between games-3%
  • Mavericksteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks: Houston Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Fri 9 Oct, 08:00 at Venetian Arena. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Houston Rockets 119.7 and Dallas Mavericks 113.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -302.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2518 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2300 points scored and 2150 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 2, Houston Rockets won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 107.

Our call

We expect Houston Rockets to score about 119.7 points and Dallas Mavericks about 113.4. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -302. Our bold bet is Mavericks to win at +244.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksRockets
Games played2020
Wins513
Losses157
Points scored23202300
Points conceded25182150
Scored per game116.0115.0
Conceded per game125.9107.5
Home record2W 6L8W 3L
Away record3W 9L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks +0.532%+210
Mavericks +3.541%+143
Mavericks +6.551%-103
Mavericks +9.560%-151
Mavericks +12.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
227.562%38%
230.556%44%
233.549%51%
236.542%58%
239.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Dallas Mavericks Center Dereck Lively II Out for Start of Training Camp

Dallas Mavericks center Dereck Lively II is not cleared for training camp as he continues to recover from right foot surgery.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 71% chance. We project Houston Rockets 119.7 and Dallas Mavericks 113.4. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project Houston Rockets 119.7 and Dallas Mavericks 113.4, about 233.0 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2518 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2300 points scored and 2150 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 107. In the last 4 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 2 and Houston Rockets won 2.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?

Mavericks +14.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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