Quick answer
Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 61% chance. We project Houston Rockets 117.5 and Dallas Mavericks 111.8. Our best bet is Rockets +3.5 at -332.
- Prediction
- Houston Rockets to win
- Chance
- 61%
- Projected score
- Houston Rockets 117, Dallas Mavericks 112
- Projected total
- 229.3 points
- Best bet
- Rockets +3.5 at -332
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Rockets +3.5
77% chanceFair price -3322 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Dallas Mavericks 39% and Houston Rockets 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Houston Rockets the favourite at -162.
- 2
Recent formDallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayDallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Houston Rockets won 6 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringDallas Mavericks score 117.7 points a game and let in 126.3. Houston Rockets score 115.1 and let in 107.0. Their recent games average 243.9 and 222.1 points in total, and the market line is 227.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 5 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Houston Rockets won 2. The last one ended Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132.
- 6
The safest betRockets +3.5 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewHouston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks: Houston Rockets are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Dallas Mavericks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 61% chance. We project Houston Rockets 117.5 and Dallas Mavericks 111.8. Our best bet is Rockets +3.5 at -332.
Dallas Mavericks form
Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2526 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.
Houston Rockets form
Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2302 points scored and 2139 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 5 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 3, Houston Rockets won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132.
Our call
We expect Houston Rockets to score about 117.5 points and Dallas Mavericks about 111.8. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Rockets +3.5 at -332.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks is Houston Rockets to win, with a 61% chance. We project Houston Rockets 117.5 and Dallas Mavericks 111.8. Our best bet is Rockets +3.5 at -332.
What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
We project Houston Rockets 117.5 and Dallas Mavericks 111.8, about 229.3 points in total.
How are Dallas Mavericks playing?
Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2526 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.
How are Houston Rockets playing?
Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2302 points scored and 2139 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets last met?
It ended Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 132. In the last 5 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Houston Rockets won 2.
What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
Rockets +3.5 at -332, with a 77% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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