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Predictions › United States › Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets
NBAFri 20 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Houston RocketsAway
113.7 : 115.8
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
49%Rockets
51%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickRockets +11.5
-346

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 113.7 and Denver Nuggets 115.8. Our best bet is Rockets +11.5 at -346.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 114, Denver Nuggets 116
Projected total
229.5 points
Best bet
Rockets +11.5 at -346

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rockets +11.5
78% chanceFair price -3462 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 51% and Houston Rockets 49%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Nuggets the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Houston Rockets won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 112.3 points a game and let in 112.9. Houston Rockets score 111.4 and let in 105.8. Their recent games average 225.2 and 217.2 points in total, and the market line is 227.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 3 and Houston Rockets won 2. The last one ended Houston Rockets 110, Denver Nuggets 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rockets +11.5 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Fri 20 Nov, 22:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 113.7 and Denver Nuggets 115.8. Our best bet is Rockets +11.5 at -346.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2258 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2228 points scored and 2115 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 3, Houston Rockets won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 110, Denver Nuggets 100.

Our call

We expect Houston Rockets to score about 113.7 points and Denver Nuggets about 115.8. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Rockets +11.5 at -346.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsRockets
Games played2020
Wins1012
Losses108
Points scored22452228
Points conceded22582115
Scored per game112.3111.4
Conceded per game112.9105.8
Home record5W 4L7W 4L
Away record5W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nuggets to win51%-106-142-12.5%
Rockets to win42%+140+120-8.2%
Nuggets -3.543%+131-108-16.8%
Rockets +3.550%+100-112-5.5%
Over 227.5 points50%+101-115-6.7%
Under 227.5 points43%+131-105-15.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -8.530%+229
Nuggets -5.539%+155
Nuggets -2.549%+105
Nuggets +0.558%-139
Nuggets +3.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
223.563%37%
226.557%43%
229.550%50%
232.543%57%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant Still Dominating at Age 38

Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant continue to put up impressive stats at age 38, ten years after teaming up.

16 hours ago
NBA

Nuggets Face Travel Chaos and Questionable Starters Before Houston Game

Plane delays in Mexico City have left the Denver Nuggets listing their main players as questionable for Monday's matchup with the Rockets.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Slow Start for Nikola Jokic Leaves Denver Nuggets Seeking Answers

Nikola Jokic has struggled early this season, exposing roster flaws for the Denver Nuggets.

5 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Rockets 113.7 and Denver Nuggets 115.8. Our best bet is Rockets +11.5 at -346.

What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Houston Rockets 113.7 and Denver Nuggets 115.8, about 229.5 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2258 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2228 points scored and 2115 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 110, Denver Nuggets 100. In the last 5 meetings Denver Nuggets won 3 and Houston Rockets won 2.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets?

Rockets +11.5 at -346, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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