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NBASat 7 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns prediction

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Houston RocketsAway
112.2 : 109.6
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
59%Rockets
41%Suns
Eagle safe pickRockets +5.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns is Houston Rockets to win, with a 59% chance. We project Houston Rockets 112.2 and Phoenix Suns 109.6. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -303.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 112, Phoenix Suns 110
Projected total
221.8 points
Best bet
Rockets +5.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rockets +5.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 41% and Houston Rockets 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Houston Rockets won 5 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Houston Rockets won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 108.4 points a game and let in 115.6. Houston Rockets score 116.3 and let in 107.8. Their recent games average 224.0 and 224.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 0 and Houston Rockets won 4. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 105, Houston Rockets 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rockets +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-2%
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns: Houston Rockets are favourites

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns is Houston Rockets to win, with a 59% chance. We project Houston Rockets 112.2 and Phoenix Suns 109.6. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -303.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2168 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2155 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 0, Houston Rockets won 4. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 105, Houston Rockets 119.

Our call

We expect Houston Rockets to score about 112.2 points and Phoenix Suns about 109.6. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Rockets +5.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsRockets
Games played2020
Wins614
Losses146
Points scored21682326
Points conceded23122155
Scored per game108.4116.3
Conceded per game115.6107.8
Home record4W 5L7W 4L
Away record2W 9L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -3.531%+219
Suns -0.540%+148
Suns +2.550%+101
Suns +5.559%-145
Suns +8.568%-215
Total pointsOverUnder
215.564%36%
218.557%43%
221.551%49%
224.544%56%
227.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns is Houston Rockets to win, with a 59% chance. We project Houston Rockets 112.2 and Phoenix Suns 109.6. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Houston Rockets 112.2 and Phoenix Suns 109.6, about 221.8 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2168 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2155 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Houston Rockets last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 105, Houston Rockets 119. In the last 4 meetings Phoenix Suns won 0 and Houston Rockets won 4.

What is the best bet for Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns?

Rockets +5.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Rockets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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